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Middlesbrough v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 15:00 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Michael Carrick and Steven Schumacher take on one another in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Middlesbrough face Stoke City at the Riverside Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Championship match data, including head-to-head records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
43%
--
Draw
27%
--
Stoke
31%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
M'Boro 1-0
11%
--
Stoke 1-0
9%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
M'Boro 2-0
8%
--
Stoke 2-1
7%
--
Stoke 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
M'Boro 3-1
4%
--
M'Boro 3-0
4%
--
Stoke 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
Stoke 3-0
2%
--
Stoke 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
M'Boro win to nil
24%
--
Stoke win to nil
17%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
M'Boro
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Stoke
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Jan 21
Oct 1
 West Brom5410713 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
Feb 1
Sep 21
 Sunderland5401812 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Nov 27
Apr 5
 Blackburn5320611 
Mar 11
Nov 6
Dec 29
Dec 6
 Burnley5311810 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Feb 15
Oct 5
 Watford5311410 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
Oct 23
Feb 12
 Sheff Utd532059 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Oxford Utd530239 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
 Derby530229 
Nov 2
May 3
Apr 8
Dec 10
 Leeds522138 
Dec 26
Apr 21
-
-
 M'Boro Home522128 
Feb 8
Sep 28
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
 Swansea521227 
Feb 15
Oct 5
Mar 11
Nov 5
 QPR5131-16 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Nov 30
Jan 1
 Hull6132-26 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
Sep 28
Feb 8
 Stoke Away6204-56 
-
-
Nov 2
May 3
 Coventry5122-15 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
Apr 26
Oct 27
 Norwich5122-25 
Oct 19
Feb 22
Apr 18
Dec 21
 Plymouth5122-45 
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
Oct 19
Feb 21
 Bristol C5122-55 
Oct 22
Feb 11
Dec 14
Apr 12
 Millwall511304 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Luton5113-44 
Apr 8
Dec 10
Dec 26
Apr 21
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Apr 18
Dec 21
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
 Preston5113-64 
Nov 26
Apr 5
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Oct 2
Jan 22
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
 Cardiff5014-101 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro1 - 1Preston
M'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro3 - 1Watford
M'Boro3 - 4Leeds
M'Boro2 - 0Swansea
M'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1Norwich
M'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
M'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
M'Boro1 - 1Sunderland
M'Boro1 - 1Rotherham
M'Boro1 - 3Coventry
M'Boro1 - 0West Brom
M'Boro1 - 2Hull
M'Boro0 - 2Ipswich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro1 - 0Leicester
M'Boro0 - 2Stoke
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
HM'Boro3 - 4Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro2 - 2Hull
HM'Boro2 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
AM'Boro2 - 0QPR
HM'Boro3 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro0 - 2Stoke
HM'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
AM'Boro2 - 1Leicester
Stoke 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Sheff Wed1 - 1Stoke
Swansea3 - 0Stoke
Hull0 - 2Stoke
Preston1 - 2Stoke
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Cardiff2 - 1Stoke
Blackburn3 - 1Stoke
Sunderland3 - 1Stoke
Rotherham0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 1Stoke
Birmingham1 - 3Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Plymouth2 - 1Stoke
QPR4 - 2Stoke
Coventry0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro0 - 2Stoke
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke1 - 3Hull
AStoke0 - 1Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 0Plymouth
HStoke1 - 2West Brom
AStoke0 - 3Watford
HStoke1 - 0Coventry
HStoke4 - 0Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Southampton
HStoke3 - 0Plymouth
AStoke1 - 1Sheff Wed
AStoke0 - 3Swansea
HStoke2 - 2West Brom
HStoke1 - 1Huddersfield
AStoke2 - 0Hull
HStoke0 - 3Norwich
AStoke2 - 1Preston
AStoke0 - 1Leeds
HStoke2 - 0M'Boro
AStoke1 - 2Cardiff
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Stoke
Goals: Scored
16
11
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
MID
6
D
2
STK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
0 - 2Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
League games at Stoke since 1993
Stoke
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
8 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
3 / 11
MID
2
D
4
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Stoke City of late. It has been 5 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Middlesbrough.

M'Boro 10th Stoke 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
M'Boro have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Stoke have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280165/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
20%
better
MID
STK
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored6
4
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.7
Avg. shots per game13
7
Avg. shots per goal11
11
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
20%
better
MID
STK
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded4
9
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded5
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

M'Boro v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
S DiengM ClarkeF AzazA Morris
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK5
-
L Ayling DEF51
-
M Clarke DEF52
-
H Hackney MID5
-
F Azaz MID52
-
A Morris MID5
1
-
I Jones FWD5
-
D Burgzorg FWD5
-
E Lath FWD51
1
-
T Conway FWD42
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
D Barlaser MID3
-
N Borges DEF2
-
R Berg DEF2
-
A Dijksteel DEF2
-
G Edmundson DEF1
-
R McGree MID1
-
J Howson MID1
-
B Doak FWD1
-
A Gilbert FWD1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6122
V JohanssonB WilmotM ManhoefB Wilmot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK6
-
J Tchamadeu DEF6
1
-
B Gibson DEF6
1
-
E Bocat DEF6
1
-
B Wilmot DEF61
2
-
W Burger MID6
1
-
M Manhoef FWD612
-
J Thompson MID5
2
-
J. Bae MID51
-
L. Koumas FWD51
1
-
N Ennis FWD5
-
L Gooch FWD5
-
A Moran MID4
-
E Tezgel FWD4
1
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
S. Sidibe MID21
-
T Cannon FWD2
-
M Rose DEF1
-
E Stevens DEF1
-
T Seko MID1
-