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Derby County v Norwich City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Championship, and Paul Warne’s Derby County will have the blessing of it on Saturday lunch time. Johannes Hoff Thorup’s Norwich City are their opponents at the Pride Park Stadium. We have the best odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
58%
--
Draw
23%
--
Norwich
19%
--
Derby 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Derby 2-0
11%
--
Derby 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Derby 3-0
6%
--
Norwich 1-0
6%
--
Derby 3-1
6%
--
Norwich 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Derby 4-0
3%
--
Norwich 2-0
3%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Derby 4-1
3%
--
Norwich 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
81%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
Derby win to nil
34%
--
Norwich win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Derby
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Norwich
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Dec 26
Apr 21
 West Brom5410713 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Jan 21
Oct 1
 Sunderland5401812 
Apr 8
Dec 21
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
 Blackburn5320611 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Apr 9
Dec 10
 Burnley5311810 
Dec 15
Apr 12
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
 Watford5311410 
Sep 21
Feb 1
Feb 1
Sep 21
 Sheff Utd532059 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Oxford Utd530239 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
-
-
 Derby Home530229 
Feb 8
Sep 28
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Leeds522138 
Oct 1
Jan 22
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
 M'Boro522128 
Oct 27
Apr 26
Nov 27
Apr 5
 Swansea521227 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Oct 5
Feb 15
 QPR5131-16 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Hull6132-26 
Oct 5
Feb 15
May 3
Nov 2
 Stoke6204-56 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Coventry5122-15 
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
Sep 28
Feb 8
 Norwich Away5122-25 
-
-
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Plymouth5122-45 
Nov 26
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
 Bristol C5122-55 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Millwall511304 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Apr 18
Dec 20
 Luton5113-44 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Dec 1
Jan 1
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Mar 12
Nov 5
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Preston5113-64 
Feb 11
Oct 22
Dec 13
Apr 12
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Apr 18
Dec 10
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
 Cardiff5014-101 
May 3
Nov 2
Win / draw / win form
9
Derby have won 9 consecutive home league games
9
Derby have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
7
Derby have kept a clean sheet for 7 consecutive home league games
Derby 8TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Derby3 - 2Burton
Derby2 - 3Peterborough
Derby3 - 1Lincoln
Derby1 - 1Wycombe
Derby2 - 1Bristol R
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Derby4 - 0Northampton
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Blackpool
ADerby0 - 1Northampton
HDerby1 - 0Bolton
HDerby2 - 1Reading
ADerby3 - 0Bristol R
HDerby3 - 0Port Vale
HDerby1 - 2Charlton
ADerby1 - 2Barnsley
HDerby1 - 0Stevenage
ADerby3 - 0Exeter
Norwich 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 0Norwich
Coventry0 - 1Norwich
Oxford Utd2 - 0Norwich
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Birmingham1 - 0Norwich
Preston0 - 1Norwich
Sheff Wed2 - 2Norwich
Leicester3 - 1Norwich
Stoke0 - 3Norwich
M'Boro3 - 1Norwich
Blackburn1 - 1Norwich
QPR2 - 2Norwich
Leeds1 - 0Norwich
Hull1 - 2Norwich
Millwall1 - 0Norwich
West Brom1 - 0Norwich
Ipswich2 - 2Norwich
Bristol C1 - 2Norwich
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Cardiff2 - 3Norwich
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorwich0 - 1Swansea
ANorwich1 - 0Coventry
HNorwich1 - 1Sheff Utd
HNorwich2 - 2Blackburn
ANorwich0 - 2Oxford Utd
ANorwich0 - 4Leeds
HNorwich0 - 0Leeds
ANorwich0 - 1Birmingham
HNorwich2 - 2Swansea
HNorwich1 - 1Bristol C
ANorwich1 - 0Preston
ANorwich2 - 2Sheff Wed
HNorwich1 - 0Ipswich
ANorwich1 - 3Leicester
HNorwich2 - 1Plymouth
ANorwich3 - 0Stoke
HNorwich5 - 0Rotherham
ANorwich1 - 3M'Boro
HNorwich1 - 0Sunderland
ANorwich1 - 1Blackburn
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Norwich
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
DER
5
D
4
NOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
0 - 1Norwich
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Norwich
Derby3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
0 - 4Norwich
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
League games at Norwich since 1996
Norwich
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
DER
5
D
1
NOR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Norwich
0 - 1Derby
3 - 4Derby
1 - 2Derby
Norwich3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Norwich3 - 2
1 - 2Derby
1 - 2Derby
Norwich2 - 0
Norwich2 - 1
Norwich1 - 0
Norwich1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.8 against Norwich City on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Derby 8th Norwich 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Norwich scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Derby have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Norwich have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280162/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Norwich
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
49%
better
DER
NOR
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score0
2
Scored first4
2
Goals scored8
4
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
29%
better
DER
NOR
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded6
6
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+29%

Derby v Norwich Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
C NelsonK GoudmijnN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Forsyth DEF5
-
C Nelson DEF51
1
-
C Elder DEF51
1
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
E Adams MID51
2
-
K Goudmijn MID52
-
K Jackson FWD521
1
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD52
2
-
R Nyambe DEF4
1
-
E Cashin DEF4
1
-
L Thompson MID4
-
T Barkhuizen FWD4
1
-
J Zetterström GLK3
-
B Osborn MID3
-
J Yates FWD31
-
J Collins FWD3
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
S Bradley DEF2
1
-
K Wilson DEF21
-
J Ward MID2
-
N Phillips DEF1
-
M Harness FWD1
-
D Brown FWD1
-
Norwich Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
A GunnB SainzC DoyleC Doyle
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gunn GLK5
1
-
C Doyle DEF51
2
-
S Duffy DEF5
2
-
J Stacey DEF5
2
-
A Forson MID51
1
-
K McLean MID5
2
-
M Espinoza MID5
2
-
L Gibbs MID5
-
B Sainz FWD52
1
-
J Sargent FWD521
1
-
B Chrisene DEF4
-
O Hernández FWD4
-
J Córdoba DEF3
-
A. Crnac FWD3
-
O Schwartau FWD2
-
G Hanley DEF1
-
K. Fisher DEF1
-
A Slimane MID1
1
-
J Sörensen MID1
1
-
C Fassnacht FWD1
-