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Burnley v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 1st Oct, 19:45 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Scott Parker and his Burnley side host Wayne Rooney’s Plymouth Argyle at the Turf Moor. Championship statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
37%
--
Draw
25%
--
Plymouth
37%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Burnley 1-0
9%
--
Plymouth 1-0
9%
--
Burnley 2-1
8%
--
Plymouth 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Plymouth 2-0
6%
--
Burnley 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Plymouth 3-1
4%
--
Burnley 3-1
4%
--
Burnley 3-0
3%
--
Plymouth 3-0
3%
--
Burnley 3-2
3%
--
Plymouth 3-2
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
63%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
55%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Burnley win to nil
19%
--
Plymouth win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Burnley
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Plymouth
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 11
Nov 7
 West Brom5410713 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
 Sunderland5401812 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
 Blackburn5320611 
Oct 5
Feb 15
-
-
 Burnley Home5311810 
Jan 22
Oct 1
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Watford5311410 
Nov 22
Mar 29
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Sheff Utd532059 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Oxford Utd530239 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Dec 10
Apr 9
 Derby530229 
Mar 15
Nov 9
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
 Leeds522138 
May 3
Nov 2
Dec 6
Dec 29
 M'Boro522128 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Nov 10
Mar 15
 Swansea521227 
Dec 10
Apr 9
Oct 26
Apr 26
 QPR5131-16 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Feb 12
Oct 23
 Hull6132-26 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Stoke6204-56 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 4
Nov 26
Apr 5
 Coventry5122-15 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Apr 12
Dec 15
 Norwich5122-25 
Apr 5
Nov 26
Oct 1
Jan 22
 Plymouth Away5122-45 
-
-
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Bristol C5122-55 
Jan 1
Nov 30
May 3
Nov 3
 Millwall511304 
Feb 11
Oct 23
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
 Luton5113-44 
Sep 28
Feb 8
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Mar 8
l
 
4-0A
Oct 5
Feb 15
 Preston5113-64 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Nov 5
Mar 11
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
 Cardiff5014-101 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 1Blackburn
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Burnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 1Brentford
Burnley0 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 5Arsenal
Burnley2 - 2Fulham
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
Burnley0 - 2Everton
Burnley5 - 0Sheff Utd
Burnley1 - 2West Ham
Burnley0 - 2C Palace
Burnley1 - 4Chelsea
Burnley0 - 1Man Utd
Burnley2 - 5Spurs
Burnley1 - 3A Villa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 0Leeds
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
HBurnley1 - 4Newcastle
ABurnley1 - 1Man Utd
ABurnley4 - 1Sheff Utd
HBurnley1 - 1Brighton
ABurnley0 - 1Everton
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley2 - 2Chelsea
HBurnley2 - 1Brentford
ABurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 3C Palace
HBurnley0 - 5Arsenal
ABurnley1 - 3Liverpool
Plymouth 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR1 - 1Plymouth
Sheff Wed4 - 0Plymouth
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Stoke3 - 0Plymouth
Rotherham0 - 1Plymouth
Norwich2 - 1Plymouth
Blackburn1 - 1Plymouth
Sheff Wed1 - 0Plymouth
M'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
Sunderland3 - 1Plymouth
Swansea0 - 1Plymouth
Huddersfield1 - 1Plymouth
Southampton2 - 1Plymouth
Cardiff2 - 2Plymouth
QPR0 - 0Plymouth
Leicester4 - 0Plymouth
Coventry1 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Plymouth
Ipswich3 - 2Plymouth
West Brom0 - 0Plymouth
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPlymouth3 - 2Sunderland
HPlymouth0 - 1Stoke
APlymouth1 - 1QPR
HPlymouth1 - 1Hull
APlymouth0 - 4Sheff Wed
HPlymouth1 - 0Hull
APlymouth0 - 1Millwall
APlymouth0 - 3Stoke
HPlymouth1 - 0Leicester
HPlymouth1 - 1QPR
APlymouth1 - 0Rotherham
HPlymouth0 - 1Bristol C
APlymouth1 - 2Norwich
HPlymouth0 - 1Preston
APlymouth1 - 1Blackburn
APlymouth0 - 1Sheff Wed
HPlymouth0 - 2Ipswich
APlymouth2 - 0M'Boro
HPlymouth0 - 3West Brom
HPlymouth0 - 2Leeds
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Burnley have not lost to Plymouth in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive home league meetings with Plymouth
League games at Burnley since 2005
Burnley
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
8
0
Games: Scored
4 / 5
0 / 5
Clean sheets
5 / 5
1 / 5
BRN
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley4 - 0
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley2 - 0
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
BRN
1
D
1
PLY
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
1 - 2Burnley
Plymouth3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Plymouth1 - 0
Plymouth1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is to be admired, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Plymouth Argyle makes sense in this context.

Burnley 4th Plymouth 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Plymouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Burnley have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-31
Plymouth have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280173/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Plymouth
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
47%
better
BRN
PLY
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
2
Scored first4
1
Goals scored11
5
Avg. goals scored2.2
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal3
8
Conversion rate for29
12
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
59%
better
BRN
PLY
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded3
9
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
8
Conversion rate against7%
13%
Avg. XG against1
2.5
KickOff rating
+59%

Burnley v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
L PiresJ Brownhill L PiresH Massengo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Pires DEF52
1
-
M Estève DEF5
1
-
J Brownhill  MID52
-
J Trafford GLK4
1
-
C Roberts DEF41
-
H Massengo MID41
2
-
L Koleosho FWD42
1
-
L Foster FWD411
2
-
J Cullen MID3
1
-
J Rodríguez FWD3
1
-
A Hountondji FWD3
-
J Worrall DEF2
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
1
-
H Mejbri MID2
2
-
J Laurent MID2
-
J Sarmiento  FWD2
-
J Anthony FWD21
1
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
Z Flemming MID1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5103
L GibsonI CissokoA Forshaw
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mumba DEF5
-
L Gibson DEF5
-
A Forshaw MID5
3
-
D Gyabi MID5
2
-
I Cissoko FWD51
2
-
R Hardie FWD51
-
M Whittaker FWD51
1
-
C Hazard GLK4
1
-
B Galloway DEF4
-
A Randell MID4
1
-
J Houghton MID4
-
J Edwards MID41
2
-
K. Szűcs DEF3
1
-
C Wright MID3
-
M Obafemi FWD3
-
M Bundu FWD3
-
F Issaka FWD3
1
N Ogbeta DEF2
-
M Tijani FWD2
-
D Grimshaw GLK1
-
V Pálsson DEF1
-
R Hajj MID1
-