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Libertad v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Juan Carlos León Zambrano welcomes Javier Marcelo Gandolfi to the Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne on Saturday morning, as their Libertad and Independiente del Valle teams clash in the Liga Pro. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is shown below. Flip between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.

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Libertad's next match is v Guayaquil at 23:30 on Sunday 29th September
Independiente del Valle's next match is v Catolica at 22:30 on Saturday 28th September
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Libertad and I. Valle was on Saturday 21st September 2024
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
September 21st 2024
Libertad 1
1 I. Valle
 
N. Molina Torres 20'16' J. Sornoza Moreira
 
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
7
Corners
7
8
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
19
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/1
 
LibertadI. Valle
 
E. Bores Díaz
J. Caicedo Cortez
L. Gómez (E. Angulo Avila 78')
C. Medina Castillo
J. Bolaños Cervantes
B. Caicedo Jurado
N. Molina Torresfootball icon (W. Ayoví Mina 86')
N. Caicedo Mina
I. Zambrano Vera
C. Penilla Caicedo
D. Ávila Murillo (L. Angulo Quiñonez 78')
W. Ramírez Preciado
J. Pombo
M. Carabajal
Y. Medina Ortiz
(C. Zabala 84') K. Arroyo Alvarado
M. Fernández Cordero
(R. Páez Andrade 76') football iconJ. Sornoza Moreira
(B. Caicedo Lastra 76') P. Mercado Altamirano
J. Ortiz Landázuri
(R. Ibarra Mina 55') A. Ibarra Mina
(M. Hoyos 84') J. Medina Escobar
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this game will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Libertad and I. Valle have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Liga Pro individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of I. Valle coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Libertad
18%
13/2
36%
-
Draw
25%
15/4
19%
-
I. Valle
57%
2/5
11%
-
I. Valle 1-0
15%
5/1-
I. Valle 2-0
12%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
8/1
13%
-
I. Valle 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
10/1
22%
-
Libertad 1-0
7%
14/1
25%
-
I. Valle 3-0
6%
15/2
23%
-
I. Valle 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Libertad 2-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
10%
-
Libertad 2-0
3%
40/1
41%
-
I. Valle 4-0
3%
16/1
19%
-
I. Valle 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
-
I. Valle 3-2
2%
33/1-
Libertad 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
17/20
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
19/20
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
38%
10/3
24%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
2/7
8%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/5
5%
-
BTTS - No
57%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
7%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
13/5
10%
-
Home/draw
43%
7/4
20%
-
Away/draw
82%
1/10
4%
-
Home/away
75%
2/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/4
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/4
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
9/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/3
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
5/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/8
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
12/1
44%
-
Home DNB
35%
5/1
50%
-
Away DNB
75%
1/8
8%
-
Libertad win to nil
11%
10/1
22%
-
I. Valle win to nil
37%
11/10
12%
-
Libertad / Libertad
5%
14/1
50%
-
Libertad / I. Valle
4%
20/1
9%
-
Libertad / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / Libertad
5%
14/1
36%
-
Draw / I. Valle
22%
11/4
6%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
18%
-
I. Valle / Libertad
2%
40/1-
I. Valle / I. Valle
39%
11/10
16%
-
I. Valle / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Libertad 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad2 - 0Delfin
Libertad0 - 1Macara
Libertad2 - 2Mushuc
Libertad0 - 0Cuenca
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Libertad2 - 3LDU Quito
Libertad1 - 1Orense
Libertad0 - 3Guayaquil
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
Libertad0 - 1Catolica
Libertad3 - 1Cumbaya
Libertad0 - 2LDU Quito
Libertad3 - 0Gualaceo
Libertad1 - 0G. City
Libertad0 - 1El Nacional
Libertad0 - 1Mushuc
Libertad1 - 3Delfin
Libertad0 - 0Emelec
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
Libertad2 - 2Catolica
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALibertad0 - 3Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0Delfin
ALibertad0 - 3LDU Quito
HLibertad0 - 1Macara
ALibertad2 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 2Mushuc
ALibertad0 - 0Emelec
HLibertad0 - 0Cuenca
HLibertad0 - 2El Nacional
ALibertad2 - 4Imbabura
ALibertad0 - 2Aucas
HLibertad2 - 3LDU Quito
HLibertad1 - 1Orense
ALibertad0 - 0Cumbaya
HLibertad0 - 3Guayaquil
ALibertad0 - 3I. Valle
HLibertad1 - 0Tecnico
ALibertad1 - 1Delfin
ALibertad0 - 3Macara
HLibertad0 - 1Catolica
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aucas0 - 2I. Valle
Cumbaya1 - 3I. Valle
Guayaquil3 - 2I. Valle
Macara0 - 1I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
Imbabura0 - 1I. Valle
Catolica2 - 2I. Valle
Emelec0 - 0I. Valle
Tecnico1 - 1I. Valle
Delfin0 - 1I. Valle
LDU Quito1 - 1I. Valle
El Nacional2 - 1I. Valle
Aucas2 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito2 - 0I. Valle
G. City0 - 2I. Valle
Tecnico2 - 2I. Valle
Delfin1 - 0I. Valle
Guayaquil1 - 1I. Valle
Mushuc1 - 0I. Valle
Orense0 - 2I. Valle
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HI. Valle2 - 1Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 0Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
AI. Valle3 - 1Cumbaya
AI. Valle2 - 3Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 2Delfin
HI. Valle1 - 0Orense
AI. Valle1 - 0Macara
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle2 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle1 - 0Imbabura
HI. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
AI. Valle2 - 2Catolica
HI. Valle3 - 0Libertad
AI. Valle0 - 0Emelec
HI. Valle1 - 1Aucas
AI. Valle1 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle3 - 0Cumbaya
HI. Valle3 - 1Guayaquil
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 15 consecutive Liga Pro games. Their PG of 1.6 against Libertad on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Libertad 16th I. Valle 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Libertad scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Libertad have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
I. Valle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/272010/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Libertad
PG (predicted goals)
I. Valle
0.8
1.6
Attack rating
53%
better
view stats
Games scored9
20
Failed to score12
1
Scored first7
15
Goals scored14
34
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
14
Avg. shots per goal14
9
Conversion rate for7
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
11
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded35
15
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+41%

Libertad v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19316
I ZambranoI ZambranoD BolañosD Bolaños
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bores GLK12
3
-
D Bolaños DEF181
5
1
B Caicedo DEF20
4
-
C Medina DEF3
-
J. Caicedo Cortez DEF7
-
L Angulo MID5
-
N Molina MID1811
3
-
I Zambrano MID2131
3
-
C Penilla MID63
-
D Ávila FWD1321
3
-
N. Caicedo Mina FWD5
2
-
Subs
W Hinostroza GLK
-
C Obando DEF5
1
-
A. Rosero Ponce DEF1
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF3
-
P Larrea MID12
-
L. Angulo Quiñonez MID15
3
-
E Avila MID5
-
J Almeida FWD2
-
W Ayoví FWD41
-
T Donsanti FWD121
2
-
I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171158
J OrtizJ MedinaJ SornozaM Carabajal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Ramírez GLK14
-
M Fernández DEF132
2
-
J Pombo DEF8
2
-
M Carabajal DEF13
8
-
Y Medina DEF1651
1
-
J Ortiz MID182
1
-
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID1613
2
-
P Altamirano MID121
3
-
J Sornoza MID125
2
-
R Ibarra MID1742
3
-
J Medina FWD62
-
Subs
G Villar GLK7
1
-
B Caicedo DEF173
4
-
A. Gómez Mina DEF
-
R Andrade MID1863
2
-
C Zabala MID191
3
-
B García MID2
-
J. Lerma Soliz MID6
-
D. Guagua Silva MID
-
J. Arcos Angulo MID
-
R Ibarra  MID91
-
M Hoyos MID204
1
-