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Independiente del Valle v Universidad Católica (EC) : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 22:30 BST, Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va, Sangolquí

Jorge César Fortunato Célico will be hoping for a precious away win in the Liga Pro on Saturday night, as he takes his Universidad Católica (EC) side to the Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va to visit Independiente del Valle and Javier Marcelo Gandolfi. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
I. Valle
46%
--
Draw
26%
--
Catolica
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
I. Valle 1-0
12%
--
I. Valle 2-1
9%
--
I. Valle 2-0
9%
--
Catolica 1-0
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Catolica 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Catolica 2-0
5%
--
I. Valle 3-1
4%
--
I. Valle 3-0
4%
--
I. Valle 3-2
2%
--
Catolica 3-1
2%
--
Catolica 3-2
2%
--
I. Valle 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
I. Valle win to nil
27%
--
Catolica win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
4
I. Valle have won 4 consecutive league games
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
I. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle1 - 2Delfin
I. Valle1 - 0Orense
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle3 - 0Libertad
I. Valle1 - 1Aucas
I. Valle3 - 0Cumbaya
I. Valle3 - 1Guayaquil
I. Valle0 - 0LDU Quito
I. Valle2 - 2Orense
I. Valle2 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle2 - 0Gualaceo
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
I. Valle2 - 0Libertad
I. Valle0 - 1Catolica
I. Valle2 - 0Cumbaya
I. Valle3 - 4El Nacional
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HI. Valle2 - 1Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 0Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
AI. Valle3 - 1Cumbaya
AI. Valle2 - 3Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 2Delfin
HI. Valle1 - 0Orense
AI. Valle1 - 0Macara
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle2 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle1 - 0Imbabura
HI. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
AI. Valle2 - 2Catolica
HI. Valle3 - 0Libertad
AI. Valle0 - 0Emelec
HI. Valle1 - 1Aucas
AI. Valle1 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle3 - 0Cumbaya
HI. Valle3 - 1Guayaquil
Catolica 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orense2 - 2Catolica
Guayaquil1 - 0Catolica
Cuenca1 - 2Catolica
El Nacional0 - 2Catolica
LDU Quito2 - 1Catolica
Mushuc2 - 1Catolica
Aucas2 - 2Catolica
Emelec2 - 1Catolica
Imbabura2 - 2Catolica
Delfin0 - 2Catolica
Libertad0 - 1Catolica
Mushuc0 - 2Catolica
LDU Quito1 - 0Catolica
Emelec2 - 1Catolica
Cuenca2 - 3Catolica
Orense1 - 2Catolica
I. Valle0 - 1Catolica
G. City0 - 0Catolica
Guayaquil1 - 2Catolica
Cumbaya0 - 1Catolica
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACatolica2 - 2Orense
HCatolica5 - 1Mushuc
ACatolica0 - 1Guayaquil
ACatolica2 - 1Cuenca
HCatolica1 - 2Libertad
ACatolica2 - 0El Nacional
HCatolica3 - 0Macara
ACatolica1 - 2LDU Quito
ACatolica1 - 2Mushuc
ACatolica2 - 2Aucas
HCatolica3 - 2Tecnico
ACatolica1 - 2Emelec
HCatolica0 - 1Guayaquil
HCatolica2 - 1Cumbaya
ACatolica2 - 2Imbabura
HCatolica2 - 2I. Valle
ACatolica2 - 0Delfin
HCatolica5 - 1Orense
HCatolica3 - 3Cuenca
ACatolica1 - 0Libertad
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Catolica have beaten I. Valle in 3 consecutive away league meetings
League games at I. Valle since 2018
I. Valle
Catolica
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
2
D
1
CAT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
0 - 1Catolica
1 - 2Catolica
2 - 3Catolica
Draw2 - 2Draw
I. Valle2 - 1
1 - 3Catolica
I. Valle2 - 1
League games at Catolica since 2018
Catolica
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
7 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
1 / 8
4
D
2
CAT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Catolica
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3I. Valle
Catolica3 - 1
1 - 3I. Valle
Catolica3 - 1
0 - 1I. Valle
1 - 2I. Valle
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 15 consecutive Liga Pro games. Their PG of 1.5 against Universidad Católica (EC) on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

I. Valle 1st Catolica 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Catolica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
I. Valle have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Catolica have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/272012/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
I. Valle
PG (predicted goals)
Catolica
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
2%
better
CAT
view stats
Games scored20
19
Failed to score1
2
Scored first15
12
Goals scored34
43
Avg. goals scored1.6
2
Avg. shots per game14
14
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
35%
better
CAT
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded15
27
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+35%

I. Valle v Catolica Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17658
J OrtizR AndradeJ SornozaM Carabajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Hoyos FWD204
1
-
C Zabala MID191
3
-
J Ortiz MID182
1
-
R Andrade MID1863
2
-
B Caicedo DEF173
4
-
R Ibarra FWD1742
3
-
R Schunke DEF16
1
-
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID1613
2
-
Y Medina MID1651
1
-
L Zárate DEF151
2
-
A Landázuri DEF1512
3
-
M Ramírez GLK14
-
M Carabajal DEF13
8
-
M Fernández MID132
2
-
P Altamirano MID121
3
-
J Sornoza MID125
2
-
R Ibarra  FWD91
-
J Pombo DEF8
2
-
G Villar GLK7
1
-
J. Lerma Soliz MID6
-
J Medina FWD62
-
E. Ruiz Congo DEF2
2
-
B García MID2
-
Catolica Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21967
R RomoJ FajardoJ FajardoG Anangonó
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Romo GLK21
2
-
K Minda DEF214
4
-
L Loor DEF211
2
-
F Martínez MID2022
5
-
A Rodríguez FWD2024
5
-
E Vallecilla DEF19
5
1
G Anangonó DEF193
7
-
J Fajardo FWD1996
4
-
F Nieto MID1812
2
-
J Cifuente FWD185
2
-
F Grillo DEF171
7
-
I Díaz FWD1795
2
-
E Clavijo FWD162
1
-
M Díaz MID1422
2
-
L Castillo DEF81
2
-
J Vivar FWD7
-
I Mosquera DEF6
-
L. Moreno Zuñiga DEF6
-
A Alvarado FWD612
-
J Quiñónez DEF5
2
-
J Chancellor DEF4
-
B Palacios FWD41
-
D Romero DEF21
1
-