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Emelec v Técnico Universitario : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 23rd Sep, 00:00 BST, Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga Pro, and Leonel de Jesús Álvarez Zuleta’s Emelec will have the blessing of it on Monday morning. Angel Paúl Vélez Ordoñez’s Técnico Universitario are their visitors to the Estadio Banco del Pacífico. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Leonel de Jesús Álvarez Zuleta and Angel Paúl Vélez Ordoñez to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Emelec and Tecnico go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Emelec
49%
21/20
7%
-
Draw
29%
12/5
3%
-
Tecnico
22%
5/2
10%
-
Emelec 1-0
17%
9/2
15%
-
Draw 0-0
13%
6/1
18%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Emelec 2-0
11%
15/2-
Tecnico 1-0
10%
13/2
21%
-
Emelec 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
-
Tecnico 2-1
5%
12/1-
Emelec 3-0
5%
18/1
12%
-
Tecnico 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Emelec 3-1
3%
20/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
24%
-
Emelec 4-0
1%
40/1
21%
-
Emelec 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
-
Tecnico 3-1
1%
33/1-
Emelec 4-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
6/4
16%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
6/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
6/5
10%
-
BTTS - No
62%
8/13
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/2
22%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
8/1
6%
-
Home/draw
78%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
51%
8/11
5%
-
Home/away
71%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/2
10%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
6/4
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4/1
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/6
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
37%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
7/1
6%
-
Home DNB
70%
1/2
7%
-
Away DNB
42%
6/4
9%
-
Emelec win to nil
34%
2/1-
Tecnico win to nil
15%
4/1
17%
-
Emelec / Emelec
24%
5/2
13%
-
Emelec / Tecnico
2%
40/1
21%
-
Emelec / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Emelec
17%
15/4-
Draw / Tecnico
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
13%
-
Tecnico / Emelec
3%
28/1
12%
-
Tecnico / Tecnico
13%
11/2-
Tecnico / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Emelec 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec2 - 1Orense
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Emelec0 - 1Cuenca
Emelec0 - 0Libertad
Emelec0 - 1Macara
Emelec2 - 1Catolica
Emelec1 - 1Guayaquil
Emelec2 - 0Cumbaya
Emelec0 - 0I. Valle
Emelec2 - 0Delfin
Emelec0 - 0Mushuc
Emelec2 - 1Cuenca
Emelec0 - 0Guayaquil
Emelec2 - 1Catolica
Emelec3 - 0Cumbaya
Emelec3 - 1Mushuc
Emelec0 - 0Aucas
Emelec0 - 1Delfin
Emelec0 - 0Orense
Emelec0 - 0Gualaceo
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEmelec1 - 2I. Valle
HEmelec2 - 1Orense
AEmelec1 - 0Delfin
HEmelec0 - 1El Nacional
AEmelec0 - 3Mushuc
HEmelec0 - 1Cuenca
HEmelec0 - 0Libertad
AEmelec2 - 1Imbabura
HEmelec0 - 1Macara
AEmelec2 - 2LDU Quito
HEmelec2 - 1Catolica
HEmelec1 - 1Guayaquil
AEmelec1 - 3Aucas
HEmelec2 - 0Cumbaya
AEmelec1 - 1Tecnico
HEmelec0 - 0I. Valle
AEmelec1 - 1Orense
HEmelec2 - 0Delfin
AEmelec1 - 0El Nacional
HEmelec0 - 0Mushuc
Tecnico 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara0 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
Cumbaya1 - 2Tecnico
Guayaquil3 - 0Tecnico
Catolica3 - 2Tecnico
LDU Quito1 - 0Tecnico
Mushuc1 - 2Tecnico
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
Delfin2 - 0Tecnico
Aucas3 - 1Tecnico
Delfin2 - 2Tecnico
G. City1 - 0Tecnico
Mushuc1 - 0Tecnico
Cumbaya0 - 1Tecnico
Guayaquil1 - 0Tecnico
Aucas2 - 4Tecnico
Cuenca1 - 1Tecnico
Catolica0 - 0Tecnico
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
LDU Quito2 - 1Tecnico
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTecnico3 - 0Libertad
ATecnico0 - 0Macara
ATecnico0 - 1I. Valle
HTecnico0 - 1Delfin
HTecnico2 - 0Aucas
ATecnico2 - 1Cumbaya
HTecnico1 - 2El Nacional
ATecnico0 - 3Guayaquil
HTecnico1 - 0Orense
ATecnico2 - 3Catolica
HTecnico1 - 1Imbabura
ATecnico0 - 1LDU Quito
HTecnico2 - 1Cuenca
ATecnico2 - 1Mushuc
HTecnico1 - 1Emelec
ATecnico0 - 1Libertad
HTecnico1 - 1Macara
HTecnico1 - 1I. Valle
ATecnico0 - 2Delfin
ATecnico1 - 3Aucas
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Emelec have beaten Tecnico in 3 consecutive home league meetings
7
Emelec have not lost to Tecnico in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
Tecnico
Goals: Scored
14
2
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
Emelec1 - 0
Emelec3 - 1
Emelec2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Emelec1 - 0
Emelec3 - 0
Emelec3 - 0
League games at Tecnico since 2018
Tecnico
Emelec
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
1
D
5
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tecnico
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tecnico1 - 0
Tecnico2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Emelec
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Técnico Universitario's defensive record is very strong, Angel Paúl Vélez Ordoñez's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga Pro outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Emelec makes sense in this context.

Emelec 6th Tecnico 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
4+
There is a 64% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Tecnico scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
Emelec have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Tecnico’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/272005/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Emelec
PG (predicted goals)
Tecnico
1.3
0.7
Attack rating
2%
better
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score7
7
Scored first8
9
Goals scored21
21
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
16
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
9
Conversion rate against8%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+15%

Emelec v Tecnico Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21436
F LeónJ AyovíJ GómezF León
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F León DEF2131
6
-
P Ortíz GLK20
1
-
G Cortez DEF201
4
-
J Ayoví FWD194
4
-
C Erbes MID18
2
1
M Meli MID181
5
-
J Gómez FWD1813
1
-
M Solís FWD1811
2
-
A González DEF162
5
-
J Sánchez FWD161
2
-
R Caicedo DEF1511
4
-
R Rivero FWD142
1
-
F Castelli FWD1342
6
-
R Garcés MID12
1
-
W Corozo FWD121
2
-
T Chamba MID111
-
C Valencia MID9
1
-
R. Borja Robalino MID8
2
-
D Tobar DEF7
-
A Ricaurte MID71
1
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID61
2
-
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD3
-
G Napa GLK2
1
-
J Rodríguez DEF2
-
J Quiñónez DEF1
1
Tecnico Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211027
W ChávezD ArmasD ArmasV. Torres Chiriboga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Chávez GLK21
3
-
C Pérez DEF20
4
-
M Medranda  DEF20
4
-
D Armas MID20102
3
-
V. Torres Chiriboga MID201
7
-
E Patta FWD2021
1
-
C Arboleda FWD1942
2
-
J Cazares MID1711
5
-
M Montenegro DEF142
-
R Luzarraga DEF14
2
1
J Caicedo FWD141
2
-
E Carcelén DEF9
5
-
J Jiménez MID9
1
-
D Navarrete MID7
1
-
J Hernández DEF6
-
S González FWD611
-
E Vega MID4
-
T Valencia DEF2
-
J Quiñonez DEF2
-
A Mendoza MID2
1
-
D Vera FWD2
-
E Lastre FWD2
-
B Angulo FWD2
-
B Porozo DEF1
-