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Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Sep, 20:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Sunday night, as Cledson Rafael de Paiva and his Vasco da Gama side host Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira’s Palmeiras at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Vasco d Gama and Palmeiras will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Cledson Rafael de Paiva or Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.33 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
33%
10/3
40%
29/10
34%
Draw
26%
27/10
9%
23/10
3%
Palmeiras
41%
4/5
20%
4/5
16%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Vasco d Gama 1-0
9%
10/1
22%
17/2
19%
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
15/2
11%
13/2
12%
Vasco d Gama 2-1
8%
14/1
36%
11/1
20%
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
6%
7/1
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
7/1
20%
13/2
21%
Vasco d Gama 2-0
5%
20/1
40%
16/1
42%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
14/1
29%
11/1
20%
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
40/1
58%
22/1
21%
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Vasco d Gama 3-0
2%
50/1
50%
28/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
21/20
1%
19/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
3/4
1%
7/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
47%
15/8
25%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/15
12%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/20
2%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
46%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
15/2
31%
13/2
30%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
11%
19/5
7%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
3/1
16%
29/10
15%
Home/draw
59%
19/20
20%
10/11
18%
Away/draw
67%
1/5
12%
2/9
10%
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/113/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/52/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/423/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/15/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/101/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
11%
13/2
Home DNB
51%
9/4
48%
2/1
40%
Away DNB
59%
1/3
18%
1/3
18%
Vasco d Gama win to nil
17%
6/1
27%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
22%
7/4
27%
-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
11%
13/2
50%
11/2
35%
Vasco d Gama / Palmeiras
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
9%
8/1
29%
15/2
31%
Draw / Palmeiras
18%
7/2
18%
7/2
14%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
4%
Palmeiras / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
26%
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
28%
15/8
23%
15/8
20%
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Palmeiras have won 4 consecutive league games
8
Vasco d Gama have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
6
Palmeiras have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
3
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Vasco d Gama 9TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Vasco d Gama0 - 4Criciuma
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Bragantino
Vasco d Gama2 - 4Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 1America
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Botafogo
Vasco d Gama1 - 2Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Cortiba
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 0Vitoria
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Athletico PR
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Criciuma
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Bragantino
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Gremio
AVasco d Gama0 - 2A Mineiro
AVasco d Gama1 - 0Atletico Go
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Corinthians
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Internacional
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Juventude
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 1Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 2Palmeiras
Fortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
Criciuma1 - 2Palmeiras
Cuiaba0 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Vitoria0 - 1Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo3 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 4Palmeiras
Cortiba0 - 2Palmeiras
Bragantino2 - 1Palmeiras
Gremio1 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
APalmeiras2 - 0Athletico PR
HPalmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
HPalmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 1Flamengo
APalmeiras1 - 1Internacional
HPalmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
APalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
HPalmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
APalmeiras0 - 1Botafogo
HPalmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
HPalmeiras2 - 0Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 2Gremio
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras0 - 3Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 1Juventude
HPalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
APalmeiras4 - 0A Mineiro
HPalmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 1Criciuma
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Palmeiras have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
D
1
PAL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
1 - 2Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
D
2
PAL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Vasco da Gama makes sense in this context.

Vasco d Gama 9th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Vasco d Gama have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Palmeiras’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273321/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
VDG
PAL
10%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score7
8
Scored first9
15
Goals scored30
43
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
VDG
PAL
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
14
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first15
9
Goals conceded35
19
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
12
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+36%

Vasco d Gama v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25846
L JardimP VegettiL Piton David 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK25
-
P Henrique DEF241
4
-
Maicon DEF231
4
-
P Vegetti FWD2381
4
-
David  FWD2143
6
-
L Léo DEF201
1
-
L Piton  DEF2014
5
-
Adson FWD2021
2
-
J Sforza MID191
2
-
H Moura MID183
5
1
R Rocha FWD151
2
-
J Victor DEF121
3
1
D Payet MID123
-
L. da Silva Gama DEF1111
-
P Galdames MID111
3
-
Rossi FWD111
3
-
J Bebanz DEF101
-
J. de Paula Morais MID101
-
V Luis DEF911
3
1
E Rodríguez FWD71
-
R Rojas DEF5
-
P Coutinho MID41
-
Souza  MID3
1
-
G. de Paiva MID31
1
-
J Meneses FWD2
-
G. Souza da Silva FWD11
1
-
A Teixeira FWD1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25976
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesJ López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK251
1
-
Rony FWD2542
4
-
A Moreno  MID2311
5
-
R Veiga MID2242
2
1
J López FWD2283
6
-
M Rocha DEF212
2
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2097
1
-
G Menino MID191
5
-
Vanderlan DEF181
-
Murilo DEF181
3
-
Mayke DEF181
3
-
G Portillo DEF1612
5
-
J Piquerez DEF162
2
-
L Lázaro FWD152
-
R Ríos MID1412
2
-
Fabinho MID14
1
-
C Paulista DEF13
1
1
Z Rafael MID132
4
1
Dudu FWD11
-
K Naves DEF10
1
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF101
2
-
M Maurício MID102
1
-
F Anderson FWD921
-
Romulo MID6
-
A Giay MID4
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD21
-
M Lomba GLK1
-