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Sao Paulo v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Sep, 20:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Ramón Ángel Díaz pays counterpart Luis Francisco Zubeldía a visit on Sunday night in the Serie A, as their Corinthians and Sao Paulo teams go head to head at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Sao Paulo and Corinthians both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
59%
4/5-
Draw
26%
5/2-
Corinthians
15%
7/2-
Sao Paulo 1-0
18%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
14%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
12%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
8/1-
Corinthians 1-0
7%
9/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
7%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
16/1-
Corinthians 2-1
3%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
3%
33/1-
Corinthians 2-0
2%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
1%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 5-0
1%
66/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
5/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/13-
Home 1st Goal
58%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
34%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
8%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
36%
21/20-
BTTS - No
64%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
14%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
9/1-
Home/draw
85%
2/11-
Away/draw
41%
19/20-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Home DNB
77%
1/3-
Away DNB
33%
9/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
42%
7/4-
Corinthians win to nil
10%
6/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
28%
2/1-
Sao Paulo / Corinthians
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
7/2-
Draw / Corinthians
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Corinthians / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1-
Corinthians / Corinthians
11%
13/2-
Corinthians / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
Sao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fortaleza
HSao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
ASao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
HSao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
HSao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
ASao Paulo1 - 4Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
ASao Paulo2 - 2Corinthians
ASao Paulo0 - 0Internacional
HSao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Corinthians 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo2 - 1Corinthians
Fortaleza1 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Corinthians
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Athletico PR1 - 1Corinthians
Internacional1 - 0Corinthians
Atletico Go2 - 2Corinthians
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Bragantino1 - 0Corinthians
Juventude2 - 0Corinthians
Cortiba0 - 2Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 4Corinthians
Gremio0 - 1Corinthians
Bragantino1 - 0Corinthians
Cuiaba0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense3 - 3Corinthians
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACorinthians1 - 2Botafogo
HCorinthians2 - 1Flamengo
ACorinthians0 - 1Fortaleza
ACorinthians0 - 0Fluminense
HCorinthians1 - 1Bragantino
HCorinthians1 - 1Juventude
ACorinthians1 - 2A Mineiro
HCorinthians2 - 2Gremio
ACorinthians1 - 0Bahia
HCorinthians2 - 1Criciuma
ACorinthians0 - 2Vasco d Gama
ACorinthians0 - 3Cruzeiro
HCorinthians3 - 2Vitoria
ACorinthians0 - 2Palmeiras
HCorinthians1 - 1Cuiaba
ACorinthians1 - 1Athletico PR
ACorinthians0 - 1Internacional
HCorinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
ACorinthians2 - 2Atletico Go
HCorinthians0 - 1Botafogo
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Sao Paulo have not lost to Corinthians in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
SAO
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
D
5
CTH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Corinthians1 - 0
Corinthians1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 5th Corinthians 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Corinthians will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273333/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.5
0.6
Attack rating
37%
better
SAO
CTH
view stats
Games scored20
14
Failed to score6
12
Scored first15
5
Goals scored34
23
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
13
Conversion rate for14
8
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
27%
better
SAO
CTH
view stats
Games conceded16
21
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first8
18
Goals conceded26
33
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%

Sao Paulo v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21739
R ArboledaLucianoL MouraLuciano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Arboleda DEF221
1
-
J Calleri FWD2152
4
-
Welington  DEF201
3
-
A Silva FWD2042
1
-
Luciano FWD2071
9
-
I Vinícius  DEF192
4
-
A Franco DEF181
5
1
R Nestor MID182
2
1
L Gustavo MID18
2
-
Ferreira FWD1851
3
-
M Araújo MID171
4
-
L Moura FWD1753
3
-
Alisson MID1612
4
-
W Rato MID162
3
-
Rafael GLK15
1
-
Erick FWD1412
1
-
D Bobadilla MID131
3
-
N Ferraresi  DEF121
1
-
Jandrei GLK11
-
G Galoppo  MID11
3
-
Patryck DEF7
1
-
Sabino DEF5
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD52
1
-
Rafinha DEF4
2
-
M Antônio MID4
-
J Moreira  DEF3
-
P Maia MID3
-
Liziero  MID3
-
Rodrigo MID2
-
J Lewis DEF1
-
R Tressoldi DEF1
-
S Longo MID1
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24446
R GarroR GarroR GarroR Garro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Garro MID2444
6
-
Raniele MID23
5
-
Hugo DEF224
2
-
Matheuzinho DEF22
2
-
I Coronado MID2111
3
-
Cacá DEF2031
3
-
Y Alberto FWD1943
4
1
Ángel Romero FWD183
5
-
F Torres DEF17
3
-
B Bidon MID17
3
-
P Raul FWD17
2
-
Fagner DEF111
1
-
M Bidu DEF111
1
-
R Lima MID11
1
-
H Souza GLK10
2
-
Giovane FWD101
1
-
A Ramalho DEF9
2
-
G Henrique DEF9
5
-
P Henrique FWD911
1
-
M Donelli GLK7
-
Caetano DEF5
1
-
L Mana DEF5
1
-
Charles MID5
3
-
T Magno FWD52
2
-
A Santana MID4
1
-
M Araújo MID4
-
Maycon MID2
1
-
J Martínez MID2
1
-
K Guimarães FWD2
-
H Hernández FWD2
-
A Carrillo MID1
-