Palmeiras's team badge Atlético Mineiro's team badge

Palmeiras v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 22:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

The Serie A is the focus for both Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro on Saturday night, as bosses Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and Gabriel Alejandro Milito face one another at the Allianz Parque. Below you'll find unique statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Palmeiras to win

A Serie A win on home turf for Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Palmeiras win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
64%
8/1311/20
Draw
20%
14/513/5
A Mineiro
16%
9/24/1
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
11/25/1
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
13/26/1
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Palmeiras 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
9/115/2
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
A Mineiro 1-0
4%
12/110/1
A Mineiro 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Palmeiras 4-0
4%
22/116/1
Palmeiras 4-1
4%
25/118/1
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
28/118/1
A Mineiro 2-0
2%
25/120/1
Palmeiras 4-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
19/2017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
17/203/4
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
47%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/413/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/117/2
Home/draw
84%
1/72/15
Away/draw
36%
5/413/10
Home/away
80%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
3/102/7
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5/221/10
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
12/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1/32/7
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
11/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/251/66
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/161/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/17/1
Home DNB
78%
2/91/5
Away DNB
30%
3/13/1
Palmeiras win to nil
35%
13/8-
A Mineiro win to nil
7%
8/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
32%
6/429/20
Palmeiras / A Mineiro
2%
40/133/1
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Palmeiras
19%
10/316/5
Draw / A Mineiro
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
A Mineiro / Palmeiras
4%
20/118/1
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
9%
8/115/2
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
16/114/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
3
Palmeiras have won 3 consecutive home league games
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
Palmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 1Internacional
Palmeiras1 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras4 - 0America
Palmeiras3 - 0Internacional
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras5 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
APalmeiras2 - 0Athletico PR
HPalmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
HPalmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 1Flamengo
APalmeiras1 - 1Internacional
HPalmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
APalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
HPalmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
APalmeiras0 - 1Botafogo
HPalmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
HPalmeiras2 - 0Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 2Gremio
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras0 - 3Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 1Juventude
HPalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
APalmeiras4 - 0A Mineiro
HPalmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 1Criciuma
A Mineiro 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Criciuma2 - 1A Mineiro
Juventude1 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional1 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Cuiaba0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia4 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 1A Mineiro
America 1 - 1A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras0 - 2A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 2A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 1A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro0 - 3Bahia
AA Mineiro3 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
AA Mineiro1 - 2Criciuma
HA Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro1 - 1Juventude
HA Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro0 - 3Botafogo
HA Mineiro2 - 4Flamengo
HA Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
AA Mineiro2 - 1Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
AA Mineiro2 - 4Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
AA Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
AA Mineiro2 - 2Fluminense
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
PAL
2
D
3
AMN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
0 - 2A Mineiro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras3 - 2
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
PAL
3
D
2
AMN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
0 - 4Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
0 - 2Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Serie A matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

With a PG of just 0.9, Atlético Mineiro look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long night for Gabriel Alejandro Milito's men.

Palmeiras 2nd A Mineiro 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Palmeiras will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Palmeiras have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
+26
A Mineiro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273332/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
7%
better
PAL
AMN
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score8
6
Scored first15
10
Goals scored43
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
37%
better
PAL
AMN
view stats
Games conceded14
19
Clean sheets12
5
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded19
36
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against8%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+37%

Palmeiras v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25976
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesJ López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK251
1
-
Rony FWD2542
4
-
A Moreno  MID2311
5
-
R Veiga MID2242
2
1
J López FWD2283
6
-
M Rocha DEF212
2
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2097
1
-
G Menino MID191
5
-
Murilo DEF181
3
-
Mayke DEF181
3
-
Vanderlan DEF181
-
G Portillo DEF1612
5
-
J Piquerez DEF162
2
-
L Lázaro FWD152
-
Fabinho MID14
1
-
R Ríos MID1412
2
-
C Paulista DEF13
1
1
Z Rafael MID132
4
1
Dudu FWD11
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF101
2
-
K Naves DEF10
1
-
M Maurício MID102
1
-
F Anderson FWD921
-
Romulo MID6
-
A Giay MID4
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD21
-
M Lomba GLK1
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19747
G ScarpaHulk G ScarpaB Fuchs
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Scarpa MID2244
3
-
Paulinho FWD2161
4
1
R Saravia DEF20
2
-
R Battaglia MID19
5
-
B Fuchs DEF171
7
-
C Castro FWD1711
-
A Franco MID16
4
-
O Otávio MID15
1
-
Hulk  FWD1573
3
-
E Vargas FWD155
-
Everson GLK14
4
-
G Arana DEF1311
4
-
M Zaracho MID132
2
-
I Gomes MID1312
3
-
B Palacios FWD1321
2
-
A Fonseca FWD11
-
M Mendes GLK10
-
I Rabello  DEF101
3
1
Bernard FWD9
1
-
R Junior DEF81
3
-
A Kardec  FWD8
-
Rubens DEF7
1
-
F Vera MID7
-
J Alonso  DEF61
2
-
Mariano DEF6
1
-
M Lemos  DEF6
3
-
P Monteiro MID6
1
-
Lyanco DEF5
1
1
Deyverson FWD5
2
-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID2
-