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Fluminense v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Saturday night at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, and it’s a Serie A clash between Fluminense and Botafogo. Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes and Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim going all-out to guide their side to the win. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Fluminense and Botafogo both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Botafogo coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
31%
12/5
33%
2/1
22%
Draw
28%
23/10
3%
19/10
3%
Botafogo
41%
5/4
20%
5/4
14%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
Botafogo 1-0
13%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
Fluminense 1-0
11%
15/2
13%
13/2
15%
Draw 0-0
10%
7/16/1
Botafogo 2-1
8%
17/2
14%
15/2
11%
Botafogo 2-0
8%
17/2
27%
17/2
14%
Fluminense 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Fluminense 2-0
5%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Botafogo 3-1
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Botafogo 3-0
3%
20/1
28%
16/1
19%
Fluminense 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
Fluminense 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Botafogo 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Fluminense 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
13/10
2%
6/5
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
3/5
1%
11/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5
26%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/11
21%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
3%
19/20
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
3%
3/4
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
25%
11/2
24%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
15%
4/1
13%
Home/draw
59%
8/13
16%
4/7
9%
Away/draw
69%
3/10
13%
7/20
10%
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
3%
2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/4
8%
13/8
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
10/329/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/91/5
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/141/20
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/111/2
Home DNB
50%
5/4
25%
23/20
19%
Away DNB
61%
4/7
18%
8/13
15%
Fluminense win to nil
19%
4/1
25%
-
Botafogo win to nil
25%
5/2
19%
-
Fluminense / Fluminense
15%
9/2
27%
4/1
25%
Fluminense / Botafogo
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Fluminense
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Draw / Botafogo
16%
4/1
17%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/216/5
3%
Botafogo / Fluminense
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Botafogo / Botafogo
21%
11/4
21%
27/10
16%
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
5
Fluminense have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
4
Fluminense have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Fluminense 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Botafogo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Botafogo have beaten Fluminense in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Fluminense
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
FLU
2
D
1
BOT
2
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
FLU
2
D
1
BOT
3
Goal Statistics
Fluminense 16th Botafogo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Botafogo have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273320/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1
1.2
Attack rating
FLU
BOT
40%
better
view stats
Games scored16
24
Failed to score9
2
Scored first14
17
Goals scored21
45
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
FLU
BOT
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded28
25
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%

Fluminense v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25549
F FábioK NogueiraGansoGanso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK25
2
-
Ganso MID2234
9
-
Martinelli MID211
6
-
S Xavier DEF192
3
-
J Kennedy FWD19
1
-
K Nogueira FWD1851
1
-
Lima MID172
4
-
D Barbosa DEF16
5
-
T Santos MID16
6
-
Keno FWD161
1
-
G Cano FWD152
3
-
Marquinhos FWD151
1
-
J Arias FWD1532
3
-
Marcelo DEF1311
1
-
R Augusto MID121
-
A Carlos DEF11
1
-
F Melo DEF9
2
1
T Silva DEF8
2
-
Manoel DEF7
1
-
D Terans MID7
1
-
K Serna MID712
-
Guga DEF61
3
1
F Vieira DEF6
-
Nonato MID6
1
-
J Silva DEF5
-
G Pires MID5
1
-
I Lima FWD5
-
F Cruz MID4
2
-
J. Lucumií González FWD3
1
-
Ignacio DEF2
-
G Fuentes DEF1
-
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24548
BastosL HenriqueM FreitasA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Bastos DEF243
4
-
L Henrique FWD2453
3
-
John GLK23
2
-
M Freitas MID234
6
-
Gregore MID221
6
-
D Barbosa MID2131
3
-
T Tchê MID21
1
1
T Soares FWD1843
3
-
A Barboza DEF171
7
1
Cuiabano DEF1742
4
-
J Savarino FWD1744
3
-
J Santos FWD1731
2
-
L Halter DEF161
4
-
Óscar Romero MID1613
6
-
M Ponte DEF123
3
-
M Marçal DEF111
5
-
C Eduardo  MID1021
1
-
I Jesus FWD104
1
-
Hugo DEF91
-
K Pessanha MID61
-
Allan MID61
2
-
Jeffinho FWD611
2
-
T Almada MID51
-
M Martins FWD52
-
C Alberto FWD41
-
Y. Augusto FWD4
1
-
G Fernández GLK3
1
-
Pablo DEF1
-
A Telles  DEF1
-
Vitinho DEF1
-
M Nascimento FWD1
-
F. Rodrigues Pereira FWD1
-