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Flamengo v Athletico PR : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 30th Sep, 00:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Monday morning sees Adenor Leonardo Bacchi’s Flamengo and Martín Varini Di Zioli’s Athletico PR go up against one another in a Serie A clash at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Flamengo and Athletico PR have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
47%
8/11-
Draw
26%
14/5-
Athletico PR
26%
7/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Flamengo 1-0
12%
11/2-
Flamengo 2-1
9%
15/2-
Flamengo 2-0
9%
7/1-
Athletico PR 1-0
9%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Athletico PR 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Flamengo 3-1
4%
14/1-
Flamengo 3-0
4%
12/1-
Athletico PR 2-0
4%
22/1-
Flamengo 3-2
2%
28/1-
Athletico PR 3-1
2%
40/1-
Flamengo 4-1
2%
28/1-
Flamengo 4-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
52%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1-
Home/draw
74%
2/11-
Away/draw
53%
21/20-
Home/away
74%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
66%
3/10-
Away DNB
45%
12/5-
Flamengo win to nil
28%
7/4-
Athletico PR win to nil
15%
7/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
30%
7/4-
Flamengo / Athletico PR
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Flamengo
19%
7/2-
Draw / Athletico PR
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Athletico PR / Flamengo
4%
22/1-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
10%
7/1-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
5
Flamengo have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Flamengo 4TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo0 - 2Botafogo
Flamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo3 - 0Palmeiras
Flamengo1 - 2Santos
Flamengo1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo1 - 2Corinthians
HFlamengo2 - 1Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 4Botafogo
HFlamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
AFlamengo0 - 1Sao Paulo
HFlamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo2 - 1Criciuma
HFlamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
HFlamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
AFlamengo4 - 2A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 2Juventude
AFlamengo1 - 0Fluminense
HFlamengo2 - 1Bahia
AFlamengo1 - 1Athletico PR
HFlamengo2 - 1Gremio
AFlamengo6 - 1Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Athletico PR 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Athletico PR
Internacional2 - 2Athletico PR
Cuiaba1 - 2Athletico PR
Bragantino1 - 0Athletico PR
Atletico Go1 - 2Athletico PR
Vitoria0 - 1Athletico PR
Cruzeiro2 - 0Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 1Athletico PR
Fortaleza1 - 0Athletico PR
Palmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
Juventude1 - 1Athletico PR
Gremio2 - 0Athletico PR
Cuiaba3 - 0Athletico PR
Cruzeiro1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
Corinthians1 - 0Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 1Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 2Athletico PR
Cortiba2 - 0Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
HAthletico PR0 - 2Palmeiras
AAthletico PR1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR1 - 2Juventude
AAthletico PR2 - 2Internacional
HAthletico PR0 - 2Gremio
AAthletico PR2 - 1Cuiaba
AAthletico PR0 - 1Bragantino
HAthletico PR1 - 3Bahia
AAthletico PR2 - 1Atletico Go
HAthletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
AAthletico PR1 - 0Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 2Cruzeiro
HAthletico PR1 - 1Corinthians
AAthletico PR1 - 1Botafogo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
HAthletico PR3 - 1Criciuma
AAthletico PR0 - 1Fortaleza
AAthletico PR2 - 0Palmeiras
HAthletico PR1 - 0Vasco d Gama
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
FLA
4
APR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
0 - 3Athletico PR
Flamengo5 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo3 - 2
1 - 2Athletico PR
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
FLA
1
D
2
APR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
Draw1 - 1Draw
Athletico PR2 - 1
Athletico PR1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Athletico PR2 - 1
0 - 2Flamengo
Athletico PR3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Athletico PR on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Flamengo 4th Athletico PR 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Athletico PR will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Athletico PR have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273336/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Athletico PR
1.5
1
Attack rating
26%
better
FLA
APR
view stats
Games scored22
18
Failed to score3
6
Scored first14
10
Goals scored40
27
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
FLA
APR
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
14
Goals conceded29
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%

Flamengo v Athletico PR Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241154
A RossiPedroGersonL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Gerson MID2525
1
-
A Rossi GLK24
-
L Araújo FWD2335
3
-
Ayrton DEF2112
3
-
F Bruno DEF211
3
-
Pedro FWD21115
3
-
L Pereira DEF20
4
-
Wesley DEF201
1
-
Allan MID19
4
-
B Henrique FWD185
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF162
2
-
D Luiz DEF162
2
-
Lorran MID1511
-
E Farfán MID14
2
-
Carlinhos FWD122
2
-
G Varela DEF11
-
G Arrascaeta MID1145
1
-
G Barbosa FWD1121
1
-
N Cruz MID1022
1
-
Éverton FWD1012
1
-
M Viña DEF9
1
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID61
1
-
M Gonçalves FWD6
2
-
M Cunha GLK1
-
A Sandro DEF1
-
C Alcaraz MID1
-
Michael MID11
-
G Plata FWD1
-
Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22436
K RochaG MastrianiB ZapelliM Gamarra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Rocha DEF231
1
-
Julimar FWD2331
2
-
B Zapelli MID223
3
-
Erick MID2211
1
-
L Esquivel DEF203
5
-
T Cuello FWD1913
2
-
L Godoy DEF1811
3
-
Fernandinho MID1823
5
-
Pablo FWD1821
5
-
Christian MID171
5
-
G Mastriani FWD164
-
T Heleno DEF15
3
-
N Nikão MID1521
-
L Linck GLK14
1
1
Madson DEF141
2
-
A Canobbio FWD1441
4
-
L Yorio FWD143
1
-
M Gamarra DEF12
6
-
Gabriel  MID111
2
-
J. Silva Neves MID9
2
-
Fernando DEF81
1
-
A Costa MID8
1
-
J. Machado Cruz MID711
2
-
Mycael GLK5
1
Praxedes MID2
-