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Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 24th Sep, 01:00 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Vélez Sarsfield and Estudiantes go head to head at the Estadio José Amalfitani on Tuesday morning, with both Sebastián Ariel Méndez Pardiñas and Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez hoping for success in the Primera División. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Velez and Estudiantes both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
56%
19/20-
Draw
26%
21/10-
Estudiantes
17%
10/3-
Velez 1-0
17%
9/2-
Velez 2-0
13%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
6/1-
Velez 2-1
9%
17/2-
Estudiantes 1-0
8%
17/2-
Velez 3-0
6%
16/1-
Velez 3-1
4%
18/1-
Estudiantes 2-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Estudiantes 2-0
3%
20/1-
Velez 4-0
2%
40/1-
Velez 4-1
2%
40/1-
Velez 3-2
1%
33/1-
Estudiantes 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
36%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
38%
11/10-
BTTS - No
62%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
9/1-
Home/draw
83%
1/5-
Away/draw
44%
4/5-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Home DNB
75%
4/11-
Away DNB
36%
2/1-
Velez win to nil
39%
7/4-
Estudiantes win to nil
11%
11/2-
Velez / Velez
26%
11/5-
Velez / Estudiantes
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
17%
15/4-
Draw / Estudiantes
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Estudiantes / Velez
3%
28/1-
Estudiantes / Estudiantes
12%
6/1-
Estudiantes / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
4
Velez have won 4 consecutive league games
12
Velez have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
5
Estudiantes have not won in 5 consecutive league games
4
Velez have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez1 - 0Newells
Velez0 - 0Argentinos
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez1 - 0Rosario
Velez2 - 2Tig
Velez1 - 0Huracan
Velez3 - 1Gimnasia
Velez0 - 1Independiente
Velez3 - 1Colon
Velez1 - 1Tal Cordoba
Velez0 - 1Banfield
Velez3 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez2 - 1Arsenal Sa
Velez2 - 0River Plate
Velez1 - 0Barracas
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 0San Lorenzo
HVelez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AVelez5 - 0Barracas
HVelez1 - 0Instituto
AVelez2 - 2Banfield
HVelez3 - 0Defensa
AVelez2 - 0Central Cor
AVelez2 - 0Platense
HVelez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
AVelez0 - 1Boca Juniors
HVelez1 - 1A. Tucuman
AVelez1 - 1Independiente
HVelez1 - 0Newells
AVelez1 - 3Gimnasia
AVelez1 - 1Estudiantes
AVelez0 - 0Argentinos
AVelez2 - 1Godoy Cruz
AVelez1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
HVelez0 - 0Argentinos
AVelez0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Estudiantes 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba1 - 0Estudiantes
A. Tucuman2 - 0Estudiantes
Newells1 - 4Estudiantes
Huracan0 - 0Estudiantes
Sarmiento2 - 0Estudiantes
Lanus2 - 1Estudiantes
Tig0 - 1Estudiantes
Lanus1 - 2Estudiantes
Defensa1 - 0Estudiantes
Sarmiento3 - 1Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz1 - 2Estudiantes
Gimnasia0 - 0Estudiantes
San Lorenzo1 - 1Estudiantes
U Santa Fe0 - 1Estudiantes
Central Cor0 - 1Estudiantes
Boca Juniors0 - 0Estudiantes
Platense2 - 1Estudiantes
Newells0 - 1Estudiantes
Tig0 - 0Estudiantes
Racing Club2 - 1Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstudiantes1 - 1Platense
AEstudiantes0 - 1Tal Cordoba
HEstudiantes1 - 1Boca Juniors
AEstudiantes0 - 2A. Tucuman
HEstudiantes0 - 2Independiente
AEstudiantes4 - 1Newells
HEstudiantes4 - 1Gimnasia
AEstudiantes0 - 0Huracan
HEstudiantes0 - 0U Santa Fe
AEstudiantes0 - 2Sarmiento
HEstudiantes1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AEstudiantes1 - 2Lanus
HEstudiantes2 - 0Deportivo Riestra
AEstudiantes1 - 0Tig
HEstudiantes1 - 1Velez
HEstudiantes1 - 1Boca Juniors
HEstudiantes3 - 0Barracas
AEstudiantes2 - 1Lanus
HEstudiantes0 - 0Boca Juniors
HEstudiantes5 - 0Central Cor
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2020
Velez
Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
VEL
1
D
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Estudiantes
League games at Estudiantes since 2019
Estudiantes
Velez
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
VEL
2
D
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes
Draw1 - 1Draw
Estudiantes2 - 0
0 - 1Velez
1 - 2Velez
Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Primera División outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Estudiantes on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

With a PG of just 0.7, Estudiantes look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Vélez Sarsfield have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Primera División matches, and it could be a long morning for Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's men.

Velez 1st Estudiantes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Velez will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Estudiantes will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Velez’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Estudiantes have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/270203/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Estudiantes
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
17%
better
VEL
EST
view stats
Games scored24
21
Failed to score7
10
Scored first19
14
Goals scored44
38
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
13%
better
VEL
EST
view stats
Games conceded15
18
Clean sheets16
13
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded23
25
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
11
Conversion rate against8%
9%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+13%

Velez v Estudiantes Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14755
E GómezC AquinoT FernándezA Bouzat
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Gómez DEF1412
1
1
C Aquino MID1473
1
-
T Fernández MID1445
1
-
A Bouzat MID14
5
-
B Romero FWD1472
1
1
F Pizzini FWD1444
2
-
T Marchiori GLK13
1
-
C Ordoñez MID133
2
1
M Pellegrini FWD111
2
-
E Mammana DEF101
2
-
J García DEF101
3
-
V Gómez DEF91
5
-
M Santos FWD83
-
P Pernicone DEF7
-
?. Montoro FWD51
1
-
T Guidara DEF4
-
D Fernández DEF4
2
1
A Quirós DEF4
1
-
J Elías  MID4
-
A. Sarco FWD41
-
R Piñeiro FWD41
-
A Lagos DEF3
-
M. Carrizo FWD3
-
S Cáseres  MID2
1
1
R Rodriguez GLK1
-
L Garzón GLK1
-
L Jara  DEF1
-
Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14435
M MansillaT PalaciosL AlandaT Palacios
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mansilla GLK14
1
-
T Palacios MID1441
4
1
E Cetré FWD1421
1
-
L Lollo DEF12
2
-
P Piatti MID1221
1
-
E Pérez MID121
2
-
G Carrillo FWD1142
1
-
G Taffarel DEF10
4
1
S Ascacibar MID102
4
-
J Altamirano MID1011
2
-
J Sosa MID912
1
-
E Meza DEF81
4
-
L Alanda FWD83
1
-
F Fernández DEF71
2
-
F Rodríguez DEF6
2
-
A Manyoma FWD61
1
-
S Arzamendia DEF5
1
-
G Neves MID5
1
-
B Kociubinski MID3
1
1
M Méndez FWD311
1
-
R. Gómez DEF2
-
S Flores DEF2
2
-
S Boselli DEF1
-