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Rayo Vallecano v Deportiva Almeria : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

It's an away trip for José Mel Pérez's Deportiva Almeria side on Sunday night, as they make their way to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas for a La Liga meeting with Iñigo Pérez Soto's Rayo Vallecano. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Deportiva Almeria's next match is v Mallorca at 18:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between R.Vallecano and Almeria was on Sunday 5th May 2024
Spanish La Liga
May 5th 2024
R.Vallecano 0
1 Almeria
 
30' A. Lozano Colón
 
VAL
ALM
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
9
2
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
R.VallecanoAlmeria
 
S. Dimitrievski
J. Chavarría Pérez
F. Lejeune
I. Balliu Campeny (M. Crespo da Silva 80')
A. Mumin
Ó. Martín Luengo
U. López Cabrera (R. de Tomás Gómez 66')
Ó. Trejo
R. García Zárate (R. Ntekja 59')
Á. García Rivera (T. Dias Correia 80')
I. Palazón Camacho (J. De Frutos Sebastián 59')
L. Arantes Maximiano
C. Montes Castro
J. Brandariz Movilla
A. Centelles Plaza
(G. Melero Manzanares 83') E. González Estrada
M. Pubill Pagès
(I. Mohammed 82') S. Arribas Calvo
Assuncao
(L. Suárez Charris 75') football iconA. Lozano Colón
(A. Pozo Pozo 72') L. Carrilho Baptistão
A. Embarba Blázquez
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. R.Vallecano and Almeria have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
48%
13/20
10%
4/6
4%
Draw
27%
14/5
10%
27/10
5%
Almeria
25%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
R.Vallecano 1-0
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
R.Vallecano 2-0
9%
13/2
7%
13/2
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
17%
9/1
17%
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
15/215/2
6%
Almeria 1-0
9%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
Almeria 2-1
6%
16/1
11%
16/1
R.Vallecano 3-0
4%
11/1
20%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
16/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
4%
12/1
8%
14/1
15%
Almeria 2-0
4%
25/1
24%
33/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
25/128/1
12%
Almeria 3-1
2%
40/155/1
R.Vallecano 4-0
2%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
11%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
10%
3/4
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/9
8%
8/15
2%
Away 1st Goal
42%
11/5
9%
21/10
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
17%
9/1
17%
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/2019/20
7%
BTTS - No
53%
4/54/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
11/4
10%
27/10
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
9%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/1
17%
9/1
Home/draw
75%
1/7
2%
2/13
2%
Away/draw
52%
6/5
12%
6/5
4%
Home/away
73%
1/4
2%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3
6%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
12/5
15%
9/4
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/2
17%
12/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/10
7%
2/7
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
18%
6/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
36%
14/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
2%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
17%
17/2
14%
Home DNB
67%
2/9
3%
1/4
2%
Away DNB
44%
3/1
11%
11/4
6%
R.Vallecano win to nil
29%
13/8
5%
13/8
1%
Almeria win to nil
15%
8/1
18%
17/2
5%
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
32%
8/5
13%
33/20
4%
R.Vallecano / Almeria
2%
40/160/1
9%
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
14/116/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
20%
10/316/5
Draw / Almeria
8%
9/1
17%
10/1
8%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Almeria / R.Vallecano
4%
20/125/1
13%
Almeria / Almeria
9%
15/2
23%
9/1
9%
Almeria / Draw
5%
16/116/1
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 32 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

R.Vallecano have played 16 games at home winning 3, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Almeria are in 20th position in the La Liga on 14 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 11 and won 1. Almeria have conceded 67 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

R.Vallecano
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Almeria
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Madrid3629616193 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 19
 Barcelona3624753179 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Girona3623673075 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-2F
l
 
0-7A
l
 
2-1A
 A.Madrid3623492873 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 25
l
 
4-0A
 A.Bilbao36171182162 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 R.Sociedad36151291257 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Real Betis3614148556 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Villarreal3614913051 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Valencia3613914-348 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
 Getafe36101313-1043 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Alaves3611916-1142 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Sevilla36101115-341 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Osasuna3611817-1441 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Las Palmas3610818-1438 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
 R.Vallecano H3681414-1538 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
 Celta3691017-1237 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Mallorca3671514-1236 
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Cadiz3661416-2432 
May 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Granada364923-3321 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Almeria Away3621123-3717 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Almeria 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Almeria
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
VAL
4
D
1
ALM
1
All league games since 2014
R.Vallecano
Almeria
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
11 / 13
5 / 13
Clean sheets
8 / 13
2 / 13
VAL
8
D
1
ALM
4
Goal Statistics
R.Vallecano 15th Almeria 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Almeria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
R.Vallecano have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Almeria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261560/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Almeria
1.4
1
Attack rating
VAL
ALM
13%
better
view stats
Games scored19
24
Failed to score17
12
Scored first13
11
Goals scored29
35
Avg. goals scored0.8
1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal12
10
Conversion rate8%
10%
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
29%
better
VAL
ALM
view stats
Games conceded23
30
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first16
21
Goals conceded44
72
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate13%
17%
KickOff rating
+29%

R.Vallecano v Almeria La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36629
S DimitrievskiÁlvaro GarcíaU LópezA Espino
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dimitrievski GLK36
2
-
I Balliu DEF321
4
-
A Mumin DEF191
4
1
F Lejeune DEF3531
5
-
P Chavarría DEF2011
5
-
Álvaro García MID3061
7
-
Óscar Valentín MID331
5
-
U López MID3312
8
-
I Palazón MID3541
8
-
R Falcao FWD201
4
-
Óscar Trejo FWD30
4
1
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK
-
A Rațiu DEF10
1
-
A Hernández DEF18
3
-
A Espino DEF301
9
-
J Pozo MID2
-
R Nteka MID1611
3
-
K Pérez MID231
7
-
M Crespo MID13
3
-
S Camello FWD3031
4
-
Bebé FWD182
1
-
J Frutos FWD342
1
-
R Tomás FWD2412
5
-
Almeria La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33637
L MaximianoL BaptistãoM PubillE González
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Maximiano GLK33
1
-
M Pubill DEF2213
2
-
C Montes DEF20
5
-
Chumi DEF291
4
-
Álex Centelles DEF131
2
-
E González MID292
6
1
M Ocaña MID6
3
-
L Baptistão MID306
6
1
S Arribas MID3263
-
A Embarba MID3431
4
-
C Lozano FWD123
1
-
Subs
F Martínez GLK2
-
D Mariño GLK1
-
B Langa DEF9
1
1
A Pozo DEF20
3
-
G Melero MID251
3
-
D Lopy MID30
6
-
I Baba MID25
5
-
L Suárez FWD134
2
-
I Kone FWD8
-
M Milovanovic FWD111
-
L Romero FWD103
1
-