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Sportiva Salernitana v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Arechi, Salerno

Home advantage makes a difference in the Serie A, and Stefano Colantuono’s Sportiva Salernitana will have the joy of it on Monday evening. Gian Piero Gasperini’s Atalanta are their visitors to the Stadio Arechi. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.

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Sportiva Salernitana's next match is v Verona at 17:30 on Monday 20th May
Atalanta's next match is v Lecce at 17:00 on Saturday 18th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Salernitana and Atalanta was on Monday 6th May 2024
Italian Serie A
May 6th 2024
Salernitana 1
2 Atalanta
 
L. Tchaouna 18'57' G. Scamacca
63' T. Koopmeiners
 
SAL
ATA
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
4
8
Corners
1
7
Possession
31%
69%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
SalernitanaAtalanta
 
V. Fiorillo
D. Bradarić (A. Sfait 77')
L. Pirola
S. Sambia (M. Łęgowski 69')
F. Fazio
T. Pasalidis (M. Pellegrino 46')
L. Coulibaly
T. Bašić
C. Ikwuemesi (S. Weissman 60')
L. Tchaounafootball icon
E. Vignato (A. Zanoli 69')
M. Carnesecchi
(M. Ruggeri 46') G. Scalvini
I. Hien
M. de Roon
(T. Koopmeiners 46') É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
H. Hateboer
M. Pašalić
(C. De Ketelaere 46') A. Miranchuk
D. Zappacosta
(E. Toure 83') A. Lookman
(B. Djimsiti 80') football iconG. Scamacca
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Salernitana and Atalanta will score at least two between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Salernitana
21%
17/2
58%
11/1
50%
Draw
22%
11/2
63%
19/4
20%
Atalanta
57%
1/4
18%
1/4
11%
Draw 1-1
10%
11/1
50%
10/1
16%
Atalanta 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
8/1
6%
Atalanta 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
Atalanta 2-0
9%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
Atalanta 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Atalanta 3-0
6%
7/1
27%
7/1
16%
Salernitana 2-1
6%
25/1
37%
28/1
26%
Draw 2-2
6%
22/1
53%
20/1
24%
Salernitana 1-0
5%
25/1
53%
33/1
31%
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
46%
18/1
Atalanta 3-2
4%
22/125/1
24%
Atalanta 4-1
3%
14/1
29%
14/1
12%
Atalanta 4-0
3%
11/1
43%
11/1
29%
Salernitana 2-0
3%
50/1
50%
80/1
45%
Salernitana 3-1
2%
66/1
63%
100/1
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
10%
1/2
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
13/8
19%
6/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/2
38%
16/5
20%
Away 1st Goal
55%
2/11
13%
2/7
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
46%
18/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
19/20
11%
20/23
8%
BTTS - No
42%
4/5
10%
5/6
9%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
14/1
50%
16/1
42%
BTTS - Draw
17%
13/2
50%
6/1
22%
BTTS - Away Win
29%
7/4
11%
17/10
Home/draw
43%
11/4
58%
29/10
30%
Away/draw
79%
1/14
4%
1/40
6%
Home/away
78%
1/9
9%
2/15
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
5%
1/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
22%
17/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/5
16%
6/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/6
11%
8/13
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/4
25%
27/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/7
10%
1/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11/2
35%
6/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/9
5%
1/10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
46%
18/1
12%
Home DNB
36%
7/1
78%
13/2
36%
Away DNB
73%
1/12
8%
1/14
4%
Salernitana win to nil
9%
16/1
55%
22/1
35%
Atalanta win to nil
28%
11/10
20%
23/20
14%
Salernitana / Salernitana
5%
18/1
100%
22/1
53%
Salernitana / Atalanta
4%
16/1
19%
22/1
10%
Salernitana / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
25/1
24%
Draw / Salernitana
4%
20/1
75%
22/1
35%
Draw / Atalanta
22%
11/4
13%
29/10
3%
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
38%
15/2
13%
Atalanta / Salernitana
1%
50/1
24%
90/1
36%
Atalanta / Atalanta
46%
4/5
24%
17/20
12%
Atalanta / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
22/1
21%
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Salernitana have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 9 and won 2. Salernitana have conceded 73 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Salernitana have played 17 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 11 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 34 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 6th place on 57 points in the Serie A league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 17 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Salernitana
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Atalanta
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-4A
l
 
4-0A
 Inter3629526792 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 26
 Milan3622862974 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Bologna36181352467 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
 Juventus36181352167 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-1F
 Atalanta Away35196102663 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
 Roma36179101960 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
 Lazio36185131059 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Fiorentina35158121353 
Jun 2
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
 Napoli36131211751 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
 Torino36121410150 
May 26
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Genoa36111312-146 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Monza36111213-945 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Lecce3681315-2037 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
May 20
w
 
0-1F
 Verona3681018-1434 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Udinese3651813-1733 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-2A
 Cagliari3671217-2733 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Frosinone3671118-2532 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Empoli368820-2632 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Sassuolo367821-3029 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
 Salernitana H3621024-4816 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Salernitana 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Salernitana since 2021
Salernitana
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
SAL
1
ATA
1
All league games since 2021
Salernitana
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
5
14
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
SAL
1
D
1
ATA
3
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sportiva Salernitana makes sense in this context.

Atalanta's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Serie A outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Monday evening.

Salernitana 20th Atalanta 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Salernitana will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Salernitana’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Atalanta have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264632/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Salernitana
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
2
Attack rating
SAL
ATA
49%
better
view stats
Games scored21
31
Failed to score15
4
Scored first9
23
Goals scored28
65
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.9
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate10%
17%
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
SAL
ATA
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
22
Clean sheets2
13
Conceded first26
11
Goals conceded76
39
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate19%
13%
KickOff rating
+45%

Salernitana v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Salernitana Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30435
D BradaricL TchaounaD BradaricL Coulibaly 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Fiorillo GLK2
1
1
T Pasalidis DEF7
4
-
F Fazio DEF161
3
1
L Pirola DEF261
4
-
J Sambia MID161
3
-
T Basic MID14
4
-
L Coulibaly  MID261
5
-
D Bradaric MID343
5
-
L Tchaouna MID3143
3
-
E Vignato MID
-
C Ikwuemesi FWD2511
2
-
Subs
B Costil GLK13
-
S. Gregorio GLK
-
A Zanoli DEF152
3
-
M Pellegrino DEF9
1
-
K Manolas DEF7
-
M Łęgowski MID28
3
-
A Martegani  MID181
1
-
A Sfait MID1
-
Simy FWD141
-
S Weissman FWD101
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212610
ÉdersonT KoopmeinersM PasalicM Roon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK26
-
G Scalvini DEF313
3
-
I Hien DEF131
2
-
M Roon DEF315
10
-
H Hateboer MID211
4
-
Éderson MID3561
8
-
M Pasalic MID3256
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2921
5
-
A Miranchuk MID2435
1
-
A Lookman MID2996
4
-
G Scamacca FWD27105
1
-
Subs
F Rossi GLK
-
J Musso GLK10
-
B Djimsiti DEF351
4
-
M Ruggeri DEF334
3
-
M Bakker DEF131
1
-
G Bonfanti DEF1
-
M Palestra DEF
-
P. Comi DEF
-
M Adopo MID91
-
T Koopmeiners MID33125
5
-
C Ketelaere MID3296
1
-
E Touré FWD82
1
-