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Paris Saint-Germain v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parc des Princes, Paris

Carles Martínez Novell guides his Toulouse side to the Parc des Princes in the Ligue 1 on Sunday night, with Luis Enrique Martínez García's Paris Saint-Germain waiting for them. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

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Paris Saint-Germain's next match is v Metz at 20:00 on Sunday 19th May
Toulouse's next match is v Brest at 20:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between PSG and Toulouse was on Sunday 12th May 2024
French Ligue 1
May 12th 2024
PSG 1
3 Toulouse
 
K. Mbappé Lottin 8'13' T. Dallinga
68' Y. Gboho
90' F. Magri
 
PSG
TOU
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
8
11
Corners
4
6
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
12
8
 
PSGToulouse
 
A. Tenas Ureña
Y. Zague
M. Škriniar
N. Mukiele Mulere (A. Hakimi Mouh 77')
M. Ugarte Ribeiro
C. Soler Barragán
K. Lee (O. Dembélé 62')
D. Hélio Pereira
M. Asensio Willemsen (G. Ramos 77')
B. Barcola (S. Mayulu 63')
K. Mbappé Lottinfootball icon
G. Restes
(W. Kamanzi 65') M. Desler
K. Keben
M. Diarra
(F. Magri 79') G. Suazo Urbina
L. Costa
C. Cásseres Yepes
V. Sierro
(W. Shavy 87') football iconY. Gboho
(C. Mawissa Elebi 79') football iconT. Dallinga
(A. Dønnum 64') Z. Aboukhlal
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Luis Enrique Martínez García readies his troops ahead of kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both clubs possess a number of attacking options, with goals in plentiful supply of late. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
56%
1/3
2%
1/3
5%
Draw
21%
19/4
4%
17/4
Toulouse
23%
13/2
25%
11/2
PSG 2-1
9%
8/17/1
7%
Draw 1-1
9%
11/110/1
22%
PSG 2-0
7%
17/2
12%
8/1
13%
PSG 3-1
7%
9/117/2
6%
PSG 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
22%
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
Toulouse 2-1
6%
20/1
11%
18/1
27%
PSG 3-0
5%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
PSG 3-2
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Toulouse 1-0
4%
28/1
38%
22/1
35%
PSG 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Toulouse 3-2
3%
40/128/1
Toulouse 2-0
3%
40/133/1
17%
PSG 4-0
3%
14/112/1
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/3
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
12/5
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/7-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/2-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/7
6%
11/20
4%
BTTS - No
35%
5/4
7%
13/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
13/10
8%
13/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
11/2
7%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/1
11%
9/1
11%
Home/draw
77%
1/10
2%
1/11
2%
Away/draw
44%
9/4
8%
11/5
11%
Home/away
79%
1/7
2%
1/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6/1
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
4/5
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1/1
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
7/4
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
4/9
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
7/2
25%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/5
7%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Home DNB
70%
1/8
4%
1/8
2%
Away DNB
38%
5/1
20%
19/4
15%
PSG win to nil
23%
7/4
5%
-
Toulouse win to nil
9%
16/1
31%
-
PSG / PSG
41%
10/11
5%
10/11
5%
PSG / Toulouse
2%
40/133/1
17%
PSG / Draw
5%
16/116/1
13%
Draw / PSG
19%
10/310/3
3%
Draw / Toulouse
6%
16/1
13%
14/1
25%
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
Toulouse / PSG
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Toulouse / Toulouse
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Toulouse / Draw
5%
18/116/1
13%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 10 and lost 1 match. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 76 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 41 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 12th position in the Ligue 1 on 40 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Toulouse have conceded 30 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

PSG
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Toulouse
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 PSG Home33211024673 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
5-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Monaco3319772264 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Lille33161071858 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-3F
 Brest33161071658 
May 19
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
 Nice3315991154 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Lens3314811850 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
 Lyon3315513-750 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Marseille331211101047 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Rennes33121011846 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
 Reims3312813-644 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
 Toulouse Away33111012-143 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-6F
 Montpellier33101112-540 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Strasbourg3310914-1139 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Nantes339618-2133 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-2F
 Le Havre3371115-1032 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
May 19
 Metz338520-2129 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
 Lorient336819-2826 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Clermont3351018-2925 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
PSG have beaten Toulouse in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
PSG have not lost to Toulouse in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
23
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
PSG
7
D
1
All league games since 2013
PSG
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
35
10
Games: Scored
14 / 16
7 / 16
Clean sheets
9 / 16
2 / 16
PSG
12
D
3
TOU
1
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

PSG 1st Toulouse 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
PSG have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263002/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
41%
better
PSG
TOU
view stats
Games scored30
24
Failed to score3
9
Scored first24
11
Goals scored79
42
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal4
7
Conversion rate22%
15%
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
28%
better
PSG
TOU
view stats
Games conceded22
27
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first6
19
Goals conceded33
43
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate11%
14%
KickOff rating
+28%

PSG v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
242785
K MbappéK MbappéO DembéléM Ugarte
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Tenas GLK61
-
N Mukiele DEF15
2
-
M Skriniar DEF22
1
-
D Pereira DEF25
2
-
Y. Zague DEF41
1
-
C Soler MID2312
1
-
M Ugarte MID242
5
-
K Lee MID2223
3
-
M Asensio FWD1844
-
K Mbappé FWD29277
4
-
B Barcola FWD2547
2
-
Subs
K Navas GLK3
-
A Hakimi DEF2545
3
-
Marquinhos DEF211
1
-
L Beraldo DEF121
4
1
F Ruiz MID2113
3
-
S. Mayulu MID71
-
G Ramos FWD28111
1
-
O Dembélé FWD2638
-
R Muani FWD2565
1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331448
G. RestesT DallingaG SuazoV Sierro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK33
3
-
L Costa DEF3011
6
-
K Keben DEF7
1
-
M Diarra DEF2212
5
-
M Desler MID231
2
-
C Yepes MID3113
1
-
V Sierro MID3063
8
-
G Suazo MID304
5
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD133
2
-
T Dallinga FWD32142
6
-
Y Gboho FWD1532
1
-
Subs
Álex Domínguez GLK
-
W Kamanzi DEF232
1
-
C Mawissa DEF162
2
-
C Gelabert MID1612
1
-
A Dönnum MID261
8
-
N Schmidt MID2111
4
-
S Spierings MID221
5
-
F Magri FWD2852
5
-
S Babicka FWD121
-