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Marseille v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Jean-Louis Gasset and Régis Le Bris take on one another in the Ligue 1 on Sunday night, as Marseille face Lorient at the Stade Vélodrome. Statistics for our tip of Marseille to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Marseille's next match is v Le Havre at 20:00 on Sunday 19th May
Lorient's next match is v Clermont at 20:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Lorient was on Sunday 12th May 2024
French Ligue 1
May 12th 2024
Marseille 3
1 Lorient
 
P. Aubameyang 36'43' B. Mendy
S. Gigot 41'
P. Aubameyang 54'
 
MAR
LOR
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
6
9
Corners
9
5
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
5
3
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
MarseilleLorient
 
P. López Sabata
C. Mbemba Mangulu
S. Gigotfootball icon (A. Meité 71')
U. Garcia Lopes
M. Murillo Bermudez
J. Veretout (J. Junior Onana Onana 78')
P. Gueye (G. Kondogbia 78')
I. Sarr (A. Harit 63')
F. Pemi Moumbagna (I. Ndiaye 63')
L. Tomaz de Lima
P. Aubameyangfootball iconfootball icon
Y. Mvogo
football iconB. Mendy
(F. Mendy 62') N. Adjei
M. Talbi
J. Laporte
P. Katseris
(J. Ponceau 75') I. Louza
L. Abergel
(B. Bouanani 62') T. Bakayoko
(E. Kroupi 80') M. Bamba
(C. Dieng 62') T. Aiyegun
Best Tip: Marseille to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Marseille to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for Lorient, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Marseille claiming victory is the bet come Sunday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
61%
9/20
4%
10/21
3%
Draw
21%
10/3
9%
7/2
6%
Lorient
18%
6/15/1
14%
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Marseille 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
11%
7/1
6%
Marseille 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Marseille 3-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Lorient 2-1
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
12%
Lorient 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/112/1
Marseille 4-1
4%
18/114/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Marseille 4-0
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Lorient 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Marseille 4-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/13
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/10
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/3
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
12/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
8/11
1%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/1
4%
9/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
10/18/1
10%
Home/draw
82%
1/101/8
2%
Away/draw
39%
13/8
5%
8/5
7%
Home/away
79%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
76%
1/6
3%
1/6
3%
Away DNB
32%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Marseille win to nil
32%
13/8
5%
-
Lorient win to nil
8%
12/1-
Marseille / Marseille
39%
6/5
5%
23/20
5%
Marseille / Lorient
2%
40/133/1
Marseille / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / Marseille
19%
10/316/5
5%
Draw / Lorient
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Draw
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Lorient / Marseille
4%
18/116/1
Lorient / Lorient
8%
10/1
8%
8/1
10%
Lorient / Draw
5%
16/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille are unbeaten in 15 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 15 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 8 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Lorient are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 26 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Lorient have conceded 62 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Marseille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Lorient
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
 PSG33211024673 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Monaco3319772264 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
 Lille33161071858 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Brest33161071658 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Nice3315991154 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Lens3314811850 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Lyon3315513-750 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
-
-
 Marseille Home331211101047 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Rennes33121011846 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Reims3312813-644 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
 Toulouse33111012-143 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Montpellier33101112-540 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Strasbourg3310914-1139 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Nantes339618-2133 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-3F
w
 
3-0F
May 19
 Le Havre3371115-1032 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Metz338520-2129 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
 Lorient Away336819-2826 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
 Clermont3351018-2925 
May 19
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Lorient 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Marseille have beaten Lorient in 4 consecutive home league meetings
11
Marseille have not lost to Lorient in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lorient
Goals: Scored
17
10
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
MAR
5
D
1
LOR
1
All league games since 2013
Marseille
Lorient
Goals: Scored
33
15
Games: Scored
14 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
1 / 15
MAR
10
D
4
LOR
1
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

Goals have been an issue for Lorient of late. It has been 6 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Marseille.

Marseille 8th Lorient 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Lorient’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263004/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
2.1
1
Attack rating
17%
better
MAR
LOR
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score10
14
Scored first16
11
Goals scored50
38
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate14%
15%
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
28%
better
MAR
LOR
view stats
Games conceded26
30
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first15
20
Goals conceded40
66
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate15%
17%
KickOff rating
+28%

Marseille v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321587
P LópezP AubameyangP AubameyangS Gigot 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK32
1
-
C Mbemba DEF2422
1
-
S Gigot  DEF213
6
1
U Garcia DEF12
-
M Murillo MID1523
3
-
J Veretout MID2812
4
-
P Gueye MID141
2
-
L Henrique MID141
-
I Sarr MID2334
1
-
P Aubameyang MID33158
4
-
F Moumbagna FWD1231
1
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK2
-
Q Merlin DEF161
-
J Clauss  DEF2632
2
1
A Harit  MID2812
5
-
G Kondogbia MID25
3
-
J Onana MID121
1
-
B Meïté MID16
1
-
I Ndiaye FWD2933
1
J Correa FWD12
3
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33636
Y Mvogo M. BambaI Louza F Mendy
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK33
1
-
N Adjei DEF15
2
-
M Talbi DEF24
2
-
J Laporte DEF22
3
-
P Katseris MID1411
4
-
L Abergel MID3211
4
-
T Bakayoko MID2021
5
-
B Mendy  MID1421
3
-
A Tosin  MID182
1
I Louza  MID1313
1
-
M. Bamba FWD1461
2
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
D Yongwa DEF2111
3
-
F Mendy DEF17
6
-
G Kalulu DEF181
-
T Bris DEF262
4
-
E Kroupi MID2953
1
-
B Bouanani MID10
-
J Ponceau MID3131
4
-
B Dieng FWD1521
2
-