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1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Koln : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side will have home backing in the Bundesliga on Sunday afternoon, as Timo Schultz's FC Koln arrive at the Mewa Arena. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Köln was on Sunday 28th April 2024

German Bundesliga

April 28th 2024

Mainz 1	1 Köln

L. Barreiro Martins 29'	90' F. Kainz

	M05 KOE
Shots On	4 6
Shots Off	5 7
Corners	6 6
Possession	39% 61%
Fouls	17 13
Yellow/red cards	4/1 4/0

Mainz	Köln

R. Zentner A. Caci (E. Fernandes 64') A. Hanche-Olsen P. Mwene S. van den Berg N. Amiri L. Barreiro Martins D. Kohr B. Gruda (L. Ajorque 87') K. Onisiwo (S. Widmer 56') J. Burkardt	M. Schwäbe B. Schmitz T. Hübers M. Finkgräfe J. Chabot (L. Maina 62') J. Thielmann E. Martel (F. Kainz 72') D. Huseinbasic (S. Adamyan 83') F. Alidou (D. Downs 62') S. Tigges (M. Uth 62') G. Waldschmidt

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 56%	11/20 4%	4/7 3%
Draw 25%	16/5	16/5 8%
Köln 20%	19/4 15%	24/5 10%
Mainz 1-0 14%	7/1	7/1 7%
Draw 1-1 12%	7/1	7/1 7%
Mainz 2-0 11%	7/1	7/1
Mainz 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1
Draw 0-0 8%	12/1	14/1 15%
Köln 1-0 7%	16/1 13%	16/1
Mainz 3-0 6%	10/1 8%	11/1
Mainz 3-1 5%	11/1 8%	11/1
Köln 2-1 5%	16/1 13%	16/1
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	14/1
Köln 2-0 3%	28/1 12%	33/1
Mainz 4-0 2%	20/1 9%	22/1 12%
Mainz 3-2 2%	22/1	20/1 9%
Mainz 4-1 2%	20/1 9%	22/1 12%
Köln 3-1 1%	40/1	50/1 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	4/6 3%	3/5 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	6/5 5%	11/10 5%
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/11 3%	1/2
Away 1st Goal 39%	11/5 7%	2/1
No 1st Goal 6%	12/1	14/1 15%
BTTS - Yes 46%	4/5 3%	7/10 2%
BTTS - No 54%	19/20 3%	21/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	11/5 2%	2/1 6%
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	4/1 4%
BTTS - Away Win 8%	9/1 18%	8/1 6%
Home/draw 80%	1/7 3%	1/7
Away/draw 44%	11/8 6%	29/20 9%
Home/away 75%	2/9	1/4 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	2/9	2/11 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	10/3	3/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	7/4	29/20 8%
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	4/9	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	4/1	10/3 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/6	1/6 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	9/1	15/2 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/16	1/18 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/25	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	12/1	12/1 8%
Home DNB 73%	1/5 4%	2/9 2%
Away DNB 37%	10/3 15%	3/1 7%
Mainz win to nil 34%	13/8 5%	9/5 3%
Köln win to nil 11%	10/1 22%	10/1 10%
Mainz / Mainz 35%	11/8 5%	29/20 6%
Mainz / Köln 2%	33/1	50/1
Mainz / Draw 5%	14/1	16/1
Draw / Mainz 20%	10/3 4%	13/4
Draw / Köln 7%	10/1	11/1 9%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	11/2 8%
Köln / Mainz 4%	20/1	20/1 9%
Köln / Köln 9%	17/2 12%	10/1 16%
Köln / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	16/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Bundesliga league table. Mainz are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 15 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Köln are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 22 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Köln have conceded 51 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Mainz

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Köln

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 2-1A	Leverkusen	32	26	6	0	59	84	l 0-2A	l 3-0A
l 1-3A	l 3-1A	Stuttgart	33	22	4	7	35	70	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
l 1-3A	l 8-1A	Bayern	32	22	3	7	49	69	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	RB Leipzig	33	19	7	7	38	64	l 1-5A	l 6-0A
w 3-0F	d 1-1A	Dortmund	33	17	9	7	21	60	l 0-4A	l 1-0A
d 1-1F	l 1-0A	E.Frankfurt	33	11	13	9	1	46	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Freiburg	33	11	9	13	-12	42	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
w 4-1A	d 1-1F	Hoffenheim	32	11	7	14	-8	40	l 1-3A	d 1-1F
l 0-1A	d 1-1F	Heidenheim	33	9	12	12	-8	39	d 1-1F	May 18
w 1-0F	l 2-1F	Augsburg	33	10	9	14	-9	39	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
l 0-1A	l 4-0A	W.Bremen	33	10	9	14	-9	39	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
d 1-1A	May 18	Wolfsburg	32	10	7	15	-11	37	l 1-2F	d 1-1F
d 1-1F	d 2-2A	B. M'gladbach	33	7	13	13	-7	34	w 3-1F	d 3-3F
w 2-0F	d 2-2A	VfL Bochum	32	7	12	13	-24	33	w 2-1A	d 1-1A
-	-	Mainz Home	33	6	14	13	-14	32	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
d 1-1A	l 4-1A	Union Berlin	33	8	6	19	-26	30	w 3-2A	l 2-0A
d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	Köln Away	33	5	12	16	-29	27	-	-
w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	Darmstadt	32	3	8	21	-46	17	l 0-2A	w 0-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
Mainz	1 - 3	Bayern
Mainz	0 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 3	Schalke
Mainz	3 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 2	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
A	Mainz	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Mainz	1 - 8	Bayern
H	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Mainz	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Dortmund
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Köln
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Darmstadt

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Bayern	2 - 0	Köln
Augsburg	1 - 1	Köln
B. M'gladbach	3 - 3	Köln
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Köln
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Köln
Union Berlin	2 - 0	Köln
Freiburg	2 - 0	Köln
Darmstadt	0 - 1	Köln
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	6 - 0	Köln
Leverkusen	3 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	2 - 1	Köln
E.Frankfurt	1 - 1	Köln
Dortmund	1 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 3	Köln
Augsburg	1 - 3	Köln
Dortmund	6 - 1	Köln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Köln	0 - 2	Darmstadt
A	Köln	0 - 2	Bayern
H	Köln	2 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	Köln	1 - 1	Augsburg
H	Köln	1 - 5	RB Leipzig
A	Köln	3 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Köln	1 - 1	Stuttgart
H	Köln	0 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Köln	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Köln	2 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	Köln	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Köln	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Köln	1 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Köln	0 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Köln	0 - 2	Freiburg
H	Köln	0 - 0	Mainz
A	Köln	1 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Köln	0 - 1	Bayern
A	Köln	1 - 1	VfL Bochum

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mainz

Köln

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

M05

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz	5 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	3 - 1
Mainz	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Köln
Mainz	2 - 0

Mainz

Köln

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 17

10 / 17

Clean sheets

7 / 17

6 / 17

M05

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	5 - 0
Köln	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Mainz
	0 - 1	Köln
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Mainz	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	1 - 0
Köln	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Köln
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mainz	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Koln have conceded in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.6 for Bo Henriksen's side suggests that run should continue.

	Mainz 15th	Köln 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Köln scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Mainz have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-10 Köln’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season

19%

better

M05

KOE

view stats

Games scored	24		19
Failed to score	9		14
Scored first	12		11
Goals scored	36		27
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		11
Conversion rate	11%		9%
KickOff rating		+19%

14%

better

M05

KOE

view stats

Games conceded	25		29
Clean sheets	8		4
Conceded first	18		20
Goals conceded	50		56
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	17%		16%
KickOff rating		+14%

Mainz v Köln Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	7	3	13
S Berg	J Burkardt	A Caci	D Kohr

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Zentner GLK	29			3 -
D Kohr DEF	30	1		13 -
S Berg DEF	32	2		10 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	14	1		4 -
A Caci MID	30	2	3	8 -
L Barreiro MID	30	4	2	8 -
N Amiri MID	14	1	3	5 -
P Mwene MID	22	1	2	4 1
B Gruda MID	27	3	2	6 -
J Burkardt MID	20	7	2	2 -
K Onisiwo FWD	24	1	3	1 -
Subs
L Rieß GLK				-
D Costa DEF	19		1	1 -
S Widmer DEF	19	1	3	4 -
E Fernandes MID	21		2	4 -
A Cil MID	10		1	1 -
M Papela MID	11			1 -
N Weiper FWD	5			-
M Richter FWD	19	1		3 -
L Ajorque FWD	25	2		4 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	3	8
J Burkardt	J Burkardt	A Caci	B Gruda

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Burkardt MID	7	16	2	4
L Barreiro MID	4	14	2	1
B Gruda MID	3	10	2	8
S Berg DEF	2	9		1
A Caci MID	2	6	3	6
D Kohr DEF	1	7		1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1	1
N Amiri MID	1	8	3	7
P Mwene MID	1	8	2	4
K Onisiwo FWD	1	7	3	3
Subs
L Ajorque FWD	2	11
S Widmer DEF	1	3	3	8
M Richter FWD	1	9		2
D Costa DEF		1	1	2
E Fernandes MID		1	2	1
A Cil MID			1
M Papela MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1446	63	227
S Berg	L Barreiro	S Berg

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berg DEF	1446	38	227
A Caci MID	1263	55	120
D Kohr DEF	1088	62	130
L Barreiro MID	893	63	167
R Zentner GLK	851	2	17
P Mwene MID	640	31	73
N Amiri MID	622	20	79
B Gruda MID	510	22	143
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	408	19	52
J Burkardt MID	338	13	77
K Onisiwo FWD	309	16	108
Subs
E Fernandes MID	721	25	57
S Widmer DEF	473	22	43
L Ajorque FWD	441	3	93
D Costa DEF	315	18	39
M Richter FWD	239	10	47
A Cil MID	177	14	23
M Papela MID	81	4	12
N Weiper FWD	39	2	5

Köln Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	5	4	8
M Schwäbe	F Kainz	F Kainz	J Chabot

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Schwäbe GLK	33			-
B Schmitz DEF	22		1	5 -
T Hübers DEF	30			5 -
J Chabot DEF	31			8 -
M Finkgräfe DEF	24	1		4 -
E Martel MID	29	1	1	6 -
D Huseinbašić MID	26		3	5 -
J Thielmann MID	21	1		4 1
L Waldschmidt MID	22	3		-
F Alidou MID				-
S Tigges FWD	24	2		-
Subs
P Pentke GLK				1 -
D Heintz DEF	11			-
R Carstensen DEF	22			1 -
J Christensen MID	7			1 -
F Kainz MID	32	5	4	3 -
L Maina MID	30	1	3	3 -
D Downs FWD	9	2		-
M Uth FWD	10		1	2 -
S Adamyan FWD	20	1	2	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	16	4	8
F Kainz	L Waldschmidt	F Kainz	F Kainz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Waldschmidt MID	3	16		3
S Tigges FWD	2	8		2
M Finkgräfe DEF	1	4		2
E Martel MID	1	8	1	1
J Thielmann MID	1	12		2
B Schmitz DEF		5	1	1
T Hübers DEF		3		2
J Chabot DEF		4
D Huseinbašić MID		3	3	1
Subs
F Kainz MID	5	9	4	8
D Downs FWD	2	2
L Maina MID	1	10	3	6
S Adamyan FWD	1	14	2	4
R Carstensen DEF		4		5
M Uth FWD		3	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1685	70	201
T Hübers	E Martel	J Chabot

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Hübers DEF	1685	64	187
J Chabot DEF	1562	52	201
M Schwäbe GLK	1158	1	7
E Martel MID	1065	70	181
D Huseinbašić MID	763	40	70
M Finkgräfe DEF	618	69	147
B Schmitz DEF	531	28	58
J Thielmann MID	421	28	91
L Waldschmidt MID	397	19	59
S Tigges FWD	162	8	52
Subs
F Kainz MID	902	30	98
R Carstensen DEF	603	45	86
L Maina MID	506	16	53
D Heintz DEF	312	12	28
S Adamyan FWD	182	15	49
M Uth FWD	119	6	22
J Christensen MID	80	10	11
D Downs FWD	27	1	2