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Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Brighton and Hove Albion, led by manager Roberto De Zerbi, visit Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the St. James' Park on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Brighton was on Saturday 11th May 2024

English Premier League

May 11th 2024

Newcastle 1	1 Brighton

S. Longstaff 45'	18' J. Veltman

	NEW BHA
Shots On	7 4
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	8 4
Possession	55% 45%
Fouls	9 16
Yellow/red cards	3/0 4/0

Newcastle	Brighton

M. Dúbravka E. Krafth D. Burn L. Hall (K. Trippier 90') V. Livramento E. Anderson S. Longstaff (J. Apolinário de Lira 68') B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura A. Isak (H. Barnes 68') A. Gordon J. Murphy (M. Almirón Rejala 68')	B. Verbruggen I. dos Santos de Paulo A. Webster L. Dunk (T. Lamptey 40') J. Veltman (B. Baker-Boatiey 67') F. Buonanotte (J. Moder 67') J. Enciso (C. Noom Quomah 87') B. Gilmour P. Groß D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck (O. Offiah 87') S. Adingra

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Newcastle and Brighton to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean a losing bet but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Newcastle 59%	3/5 3%	3/5
Draw 20%	15/4 6%	18/5
Brighton 21%	15/4 5%	19/5 4%
Newcastle 2-1 9%	9/1 5%	13/2 6%
Draw 1-1 8%	10/1	15/2
Newcastle 2-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Newcastle 3-1 7%	11/1	17/2 5%
Newcastle 1-0 6%	14/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	10/1
Newcastle 3-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Brighton 2-1 5%	16/1 11%	12/1
Newcastle 3-2 5%	18/1	12/1
Newcastle 4-1 4%	20/1	14/1
Brighton 1-0 4%	22/1 12%	16/1
Newcastle 4-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 3%	25/1	16/1
Newcastle 4-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Brighton 3-2 3%	28/1 15%	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	4/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	11/5	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	2/5	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 1%	25/1	-
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/9	4/9
BTTS - No 35%	13/8	8/5
BTTS - Home Win 35%	8/5 4%	6/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 14%	11/2 7%	11/2 8%
Home/draw 79%	2/11 1%	2/11
Away/draw 41%	13/10 3%	13/10
Home/away 80%	2/11	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	11/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	10/11	-
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	10/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	11/5	-
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	4/11	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	4/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/6	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/66	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	20/1 19%	-
Home DNB 73%	1/4	1/4
Away DNB 35%	11/4	13/5 3%
Newcastle win to nil 24%	5/2	-
Brighton win to nil 7%	10/1 15%	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 35%	7/5	13/10 3%
Newcastle / Brighton 3%	28/1 15%	25/1 13%
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Newcastle 17%	4/1	19/5 4%
Draw / Brighton 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 11%	15/2	6/1
Brighton / Newcastle 5%	16/1	14/1
Brighton / Brighton 11%	7/1 6%	6/1
Brighton / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 78 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 48 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Brighton are in 11th position in the Premier League on 47 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 37 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Newcastle

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Brighton

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 2-3A	l 1-0A	Man City	38	28	7	3	62	91	l 0-4A	l 2-1A
w 1-0F	l 4-1A	Arsenal	38	28	5	5	62	89	l 0-3A	l 2-0A
l 1-2F	l 4-2A	Liverpool	38	24	10	4	45	82	d 2-2F	l 2-1F
w 5-1F	w 1-3F	A Villa	38	20	8	10	15	68	w 1-0F	l 6-1A
w 4-0F	l 4-1A	Spurs	38	20	6	12	13	66	w 4-2F	l 2-1F
w 4-1F	l 3-2A	Chelsea	38	18	9	11	14	63	l 1-2A	l 3-2A
-	-	Newcastle Home	38	18	6	14	23	60	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
w 1-0F	l 3-2A	Man Utd	38	18	6	14	-1	60	l 0-2A	w 1-3F
w 4-3F	d 2-2A	West Ham	38	14	10	14	-14	52	l 1-3A	d 0-00-0
w 4-0F	l 2-0A	C Palace	38	13	10	15	-1	49	w 4-1F	d 1-1A
d 1-1A	l 3-1A	Brighton Away	38	12	12	14	-7	48	-	-
d 2-2A	l 2-0A	Bournemouth	38	13	9	16	-13	48	w 3-1A	l 3-0A
w 3-0F	w 0-1F	Fulham	38	13	8	17	-6	47	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
w 3-0F	d 2-2F	Wolves	38	13	7	18	-15	46	d 0-00-0	w 1-4F
d 1-1F	l 3-0A	Everton	38	13	9	16	-11	40	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
w 1-0F	w 2-4F	Brentford	38	10	9	19	-9	39	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
l 1-3F	w 2-3F	Nottm Forest	38	9	9	20	-18	32	w 1-0F	w 2-3A
d 4-4F	l 1-0A	Luton	38	6	8	24	-33	26	w 4-1F	l 4-0A
w 2-0F	w 1-4F	Burnley	38	5	9	24	-37	24	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
w 5-1A	w 0-8F	Sheff Utd	38	3	7	28	-69	16	d 1-1F	w 0-5F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Newcastle	5 - 1	Sheff Utd
Newcastle	4 - 0	Spurs
Newcastle	1 - 1	Everton
Newcastle	4 - 3	West Ham
Newcastle	3 - 0	Wolves
Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Newcastle	4 - 4	Luton
Newcastle	2 - 3	Man City
Newcastle	1 - 3	Nottm Forest
Newcastle	3 - 0	Fulham
Newcastle	1 - 0	Man Utd
Newcastle	4 - 1	Chelsea
Newcastle	1 - 0	Arsenal
Newcastle	4 - 0	C Palace
Newcastle	2 - 0	Burnley
Newcastle	1 - 0	Brentford
Newcastle	1 - 2	Liverpool
Newcastle	5 - 1	A Villa
Newcastle	0 - 0	Leicester
Newcastle	4 - 1	Brighton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Newcastle	4 - 1	Burnley
H	Newcastle	5 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	C Palace
H	Newcastle	4 - 0	Spurs
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Fulham
H	Newcastle	1 - 1	Everton
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	West Ham
A	Newcastle	2 - 3	Chelsea
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	3 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	4 - 4	Luton
A	Newcastle	3 - 1	A Villa
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Man City
A	Newcastle	2 - 4	Liverpool
H	Newcastle	1 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Luton
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Fulham
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Spurs

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Bournemouth	3 - 0	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Brentford	0 - 0	Brighton
Liverpool	2 - 1	Brighton
Fulham	3 - 0	Brighton
Sheff Utd	0 - 5	Brighton
Spurs	2 - 1	Brighton
Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
West Ham	0 - 0	Brighton
C Palace	1 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brighton
Chelsea	3 - 2	Brighton
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Brighton
Everton	1 - 1	Brighton
Man City	2 - 1	Brighton
A Villa	6 - 1	Brighton
Man Utd	1 - 3	Brighton
Wolves	1 - 4	Brighton
A Villa	2 - 1	Brighton
Newcastle	4 - 1	Brighton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Brighton	1 - 0	A Villa
A	Brighton	0 - 3	Bournemouth
H	Brighton	0 - 4	Man City
A	Brighton	1 - 1	Burnley
H	Brighton	0 - 3	Arsenal
A	Brighton	0 - 0	Brentford
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Brighton	1 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Brighton	0 - 3	Fulham
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
A	Brighton	5 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Spurs
H	Brighton	4 - 1	C Palace
A	Brighton	0 - 4	Luton
H	Brighton	0 - 0	Wolves
A	Brighton	0 - 0	West Ham
H	Brighton	4 - 2	Spurs
A	Brighton	1 - 1	C Palace
A	Brighton	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Burnley

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newcastle

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

4 / 7

NEW

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle	4 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 0

Newcastle

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 15

10 / 15

Clean sheets

5 / 15

8 / 15

NEW

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY
Brighton	3 - 1
Newcastle	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Brighton	3 - 0
	0 - 3	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Brighton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Brighton	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Newcastle	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Newcastle United in their clash with Brighton and Hove Albion, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 36 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Goals have been an issue for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 10 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Newcastle United.

	Newcastle 7th	Brighton 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 10% 1 23% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 20% There is a 67% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+36 Newcastle have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted	-13 Brighton have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.6 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.0 conceded

Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season

28%

better

NEW

BHA

view stats

Games scored	33		28
Failed to score	5		10
Scored first	22		15
Goals scored	85		55
Avg. goals scored	2.2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate	21%		14%
KickOff rating		+28%

13%

better

NEW

BHA

view stats

Games conceded	28		32
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	16		20
Goals conceded	62		62
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate	16%		18%
KickOff rating		+13%

Newcastle v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	21	11	12
B Guimarães	A Isak	A Gordon	A Gordon

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	23			1 -
T Livramento DEF	26	1		1 -
E Krafth DEF	17			2 -
D Burn DEF	33	2	2	4 -
L Hall DEF	18	1		2 -
S Longstaff MID	35	6	2	7 -
B Guimarães MID	37	7	8	9 -
E Anderson MID	21		2	3 -
J Murphy FWD	21	3	7	1 -
A Isak FWD	30	21	2	2 -
A Gordon FWD	35	11	11	12 -
Subs
N Pope GLK	15			1 -
K Trippier DEF	28	1	10	5 -
P Dummett DEF	5			-
A. Murphy DEF	2			-
Joelinton MID	20	2	1	6 -
M Ritchie MID	13	1		1 -
H Barnes MID	21	5	3	2 -
M Almirón MID	33	3	2	2 -
J White MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
21	43	11	20
A Isak	A Isak	A Gordon	A Gordon

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Isak FWD	21	43	2	8
A Gordon FWD	11	31	11	20
B Guimarães MID	7	16	8	15
S Longstaff MID	6	15	2	6
J Murphy FWD	3	10	7	12
D Burn DEF	2	6	2	5
T Livramento DEF	1	2		3
L Hall DEF	1	4		2
E Krafth DEF				4
E Anderson MID		5	2	3
Subs
H Barnes MID	5	12	3	8
M Almirón MID	3	12	2	6
Joelinton MID	2	9	1	6
K Trippier DEF	1	2	10	15
M Ritchie MID	1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2211	87	281
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	B Guimarães

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Guimarães MID	2211	87	281
D Burn DEF	1501	62	177
S Longstaff MID	1199	54	116
A Gordon FWD	896	55	181
T Livramento DEF	662	24	79
M Dúbravka GLK	517		9
E Krafth DEF	493	21	44
A Isak FWD	471	5	70
L Hall DEF	463	28	57
J Murphy FWD	416	20	48
E Anderson MID	410	24	82
Subs
K Trippier DEF	1699	58	125
M Almirón MID	764	36	86
Joelinton MID	607	38	94
N Pope GLK	311		7
H Barnes MID	240	6	36
M Ritchie MID	85	5	6
P Dummett DEF	22	1	2
A. Murphy DEF	17	1	1
J White MID	12	1	1

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	6	10	9
P Groß	S Adingra	P Groß	B Gilmour

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Verbruggen GLK	21			3 -
J Veltman DEF	27	1	1	4 -
A Webster DEF	15			2 -
L Dunk DEF	33	3	1	7 1
Igor DEF	24			4 -
P Groß MID	36	4	10	6 -
B Gilmour MID	30		1	8 1
F Buonanotte MID	27	3	1	7 -
J Enciso MID	12		2	2 -
S Adingra MID	31	6	1	3 -
D Welbeck FWD	29	5	1	4 -
Subs
J Steele GLK	17			-
O Offiah DEF	4			-
T Lamptey DEF	19		3	3 -
A Lallana MID	25		1	2 -
J Moder MID	17			2 -
C Quomah MID	27			7 -
A Fati FWD	19	2		2 -
M O’Mahony FWD	3			1 -
B. Boaitey FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	10	20
S Adingra	S Adingra	P Groß	P Groß

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Adingra MID	6	22	1	7
D Welbeck FWD	5	16	1	6
P Groß MID	4	20	10	20
L Dunk DEF	3	12	1	1
F Buonanotte MID	3	9	1	5
J Veltman DEF	1	3	1	1
A Webster DEF		1
Igor DEF				2
B Gilmour MID		5	1	3
J Enciso MID		8	2	4
Subs
A Fati FWD	2	11		1
T Lamptey DEF			3	1
A Lallana MID		2	1	3
J Moder MID		3		2
C Quomah MID		5		1
B. Boaitey FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3150	71	127
L Dunk	P Groß	P Groß

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Dunk DEF	3150	28	101
P Groß MID	2859	71	127
B Gilmour MID	2051	26	74
Igor DEF	1402	26	69
A Webster DEF	1053	15	51
J Veltman DEF	822	53	126
S Adingra MID	740	44	116
B Verbruggen GLK	738	1	9
D Welbeck FWD	503	35	78
F Buonanotte MID	466	41	106
J Enciso MID	164	6	34
Subs
C Quomah MID	772	40	102
J Steele GLK	600		2
A Lallana MID	499	8	25
T Lamptey DEF	370	21	49
J Moder MID	280	19	33
A Fati FWD	204	5	22
O Offiah DEF	64	1	8
M O’Mahony FWD	16	1	2
B. Boaitey FWD	5

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Newcastle have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Brighton are in 11th position in the Premier League on 47 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Newcastle v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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