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Burnley v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Eddie Howe pays counterpart Vincent Kompany a visit on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League, as their Newcastle United and Burnley sides go head to head at the Turf Moor. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head history, will update as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Premier League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

The last English Premier League meeting between Burnley and Newcastle was on Saturday 4th May 2024

English Premier League

May 4th 2024

Burnley 1	4 Newcastle

D. O'Shea 86'	19' C. Wilson
	35' S. Longstaff
	40' B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
	55' A. Isak

	BRN NEW
Shots On	5 11
Shots Off	7 5
Corners	4 11
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	8 8
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Burnley	Newcastle

A. Murić M. Esteve (H. Ekdal 45') D. O'Shea V. da Silva L. Assignon J. Cullen S. Berge J. Brownhill (M. Amdouni 85') L. Foster (D. Fofana 85') J. Bruun Larsen (J. Berg Guðmundsson 62') W. Odobert	M. Dúbravka E. Krafth D. Burn L. Hall V. Livramento (J. Apolinário de Lira 77') S. Longstaff B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (M. Almirón Rejala 77') A. Isak (M. Ritchie 85') A. Gordon (H. Barnes 69') C. Wilson (E. Anderson 69') J. Murphy

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of impressive, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Vincent Kompany or Eddie Howe find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.50.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 39%	12/5	23/10 3%
Draw 23%	3/1 5%	11/4 1%
Newcastle 38%	19/20	19/20 2%
Draw 1-1 10%	17/2 12%	15/2 6%
Burnley 2-1 8%	12/1	11/1
Newcastle 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1 6%
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1 8%	10/1
Burnley 1-0 6%	20/1 24%	16/1 13%
Newcastle 1-0 6%	14/1 15%	12/1 18%
Burnley 2-0 5%	25/1 13%	22/1
Newcastle 2-0 5%	14/1 15%	12/1 8%
Burnley 3-1 5%	25/1	22/1 12%
Newcastle 3-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Burnley 3-2 4%	25/1	20/1 9%
Newcastle 3-2 4%	18/1 10%	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	22/1 21%	22/1 21%
Burnley 3-0 3%	40/1	45/1 10%
Newcastle 3-0 3%	20/1	20/1 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	2/5 7%	2/5 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	2/1 15%	7/4 10%
Home 1st Goal 49%	13/10	5/4 2%
Away 1st Goal 49%	4/7	8/11 2%
No 1st Goal 2%	22/1 21%	22/1 21%
BTTS - Yes 66%	2/5 3%	2/5 3%
BTTS - No 34%	7/4 5%	19/10 9%
BTTS - Home Win 24%	4/1	19/5 9%
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	13/4 2%
BTTS - Away Win 23%	2/1 8%	2/1 6%
Home/draw 62%	4/5	3/4
Away/draw 61%	3/10	2/7 3%
Home/away 77%	2/9 2%	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/8 2%	1/8 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	5/1 9%	5/1 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	1/1 9%	1/1 9%
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	4/5 8%	8/11 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	12/5 15%	9/4 12%
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	1/3 6%	3/10 4%
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	5/1 14%	24/5 17%
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/8 2%	1/8 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	20/1 24%
Home DNB 55%	6/4	6/4
Away DNB 54%	1/2	1/2
Burnley win to nil 16%	7/1	15/2 6%
Newcastle win to nil 15%	7/2 4%	15/4 10%
Burnley / Burnley 15%	9/2	24/5 3%
Burnley / Newcastle 5%	18/1 10%	18/1 10%
Burnley / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 13%
Draw / Burnley 10%	15/2	7/1
Draw / Newcastle 15%	5/1 9%	17/4 1%
Draw / Draw 12%	13/2 7%	11/2
Newcastle / Burnley 3%	25/1	28/1
Newcastle / Newcastle 27%	21/10 3%	11/5
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 69 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 11 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 37 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Newcastle lay in 7th place on 53 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 53 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Burnley

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Newcastle

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 3-1A	Man City	36	26	7	3	58	85	l 2-3A	l 1-0A
l 0-5A	l 3-1A	Arsenal	36	26	5	5	60	83	w 1-0F	l 4-1A
l 0-2A	l 3-1A	Liverpool	36	23	9	4	43	78	l 1-2F	l 4-2A
l 1-3A	l 3-2A	A Villa	36	20	7	9	20	67	w 5-1F	w 1-3F
l 2-5F	l 2-1F	Spurs	36	19	6	11	12	63	w 4-0F	l 4-1A
l 1-4A	l 2-0A	Newcastle Away	36	17	6	13	22	57	-	-
l 1-4F	d 2-2A	Chelsea	36	16	9	11	12	57	w 4-1F	l 3-2A
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Man Utd	35	16	6	13	-3	54	w 1-0F	May 15
l 1-2F	d 2-2F	West Ham	37	14	10	13	-12	52	w 4-3F	d 2-2A
d 1-1F	d 1-1F	Brighton	36	12	12	12	-4	48	d 1-1A	l 3-1A
l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Bournemouth	37	13	9	15	-12	48	d 2-2A	l 2-0A
l 0-2A	l 3-0A	C Palace	37	12	10	15	-6	46	w 4-0F	l 2-0A
d 1-1F	l 1-0A	Wolves	37	13	7	17	-13	46	w 3-0F	d 2-2F
d 2-2A	w 0-2F	Fulham	37	12	8	17	-8	44	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
l 0-2A	l 1-0A	Everton	37	13	9	15	-10	40	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
w 2-1F	l 3-0A	Brentford	37	10	9	18	-7	39	w 1-0F	May 19
May 19	d 1-1F	Nottm Forest	37	8	9	20	-19	29	l 1-3F	w 2-3F
d 1-1F	w 1-2F	Luton	37	6	8	23	-31	26	d 4-4F	l 1-0A
-	-	Burnley Home	37	5	9	23	-36	24	w 2-0F	w 1-4F
w 5-0F	w 1-4F	Sheff Utd	37	3	7	27	-66	16	w 5-1A	w 0-8F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
Burnley	5 - 0	Sheff Utd
Burnley	1 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	0 - 2	C Palace
Burnley	1 - 4	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 1	Man Utd
Burnley	2 - 5	Spurs
Burnley	1 - 3	A Villa
Burnley	0 - 3	Man City
Burnley	3 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	QPR
Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Burnley	4 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Everton
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
A	Burnley	2 - 2	Chelsea
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Burnley	0 - 3	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Man City
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 3	A Villa
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Fulham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
C Palace	2 - 0	Newcastle
Fulham	0 - 1	Newcastle
Chelsea	3 - 2	Newcastle
Arsenal	4 - 1	Newcastle
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Newcastle
A Villa	1 - 3	Newcastle
Liverpool	4 - 2	Newcastle
Luton	1 - 0	Newcastle
Spurs	4 - 1	Newcastle
Everton	3 - 0	Newcastle
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Newcastle
Wolves	2 - 2	Newcastle
West Ham	2 - 2	Newcastle
Sheff Utd	0 - 8	Newcastle
Brighton	3 - 1	Newcastle
Man City	1 - 0	Newcastle
Chelsea	1 - 1	Newcastle
Leeds	2 - 2	Newcastle
Everton	1 - 4	Newcastle
A Villa	3 - 0	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Newcastle	5 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	C Palace
H	Newcastle	4 - 0	Spurs
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Fulham
H	Newcastle	1 - 1	Everton
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	West Ham
A	Newcastle	2 - 3	Chelsea
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	3 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	4 - 4	Luton
A	Newcastle	3 - 1	A Villa
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Man City
A	Newcastle	2 - 4	Liverpool
H	Newcastle	1 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Luton
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Fulham
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Spurs
A	Newcastle	0 - 3	Everton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newcastle have beaten Burnley in 5 consecutive league meetings

Newcastle have not lost to Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings

Burnley

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

BRN

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
	1 - 2	Newcastle
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Burnley

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 13

10 / 13

Clean sheets

3 / 13

4 / 13

BRN

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY
Newcastle	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Newcastle	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Newcastle	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	1 - 0
Newcastle	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Newcastle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Newcastle United's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 17 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.7 for Eddie Howe's side suggests that run should continue.

	Burnley 19th	Newcastle 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Burnley have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	+11 Newcastle have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	2.1 conceded

Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season

BRN

NEW

35%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		31
Failed to score	12		5
Scored first	16		21
Goals scored	40		79
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2.2
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate	13%		21%
KickOff rating		+35%

BRN

NEW

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	35		26
Clean sheets	2		10
Conceded first	21		15
Goals conceded	76		57
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	18%		16%
KickOff rating		+27%

Burnley v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	4	9
S Berge	J Larsen	D O'Shea	J Cullen

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Muric GLK	9			-
L Assignon DEF	14	1	2	4 -
D O'Shea DEF	32	3	4	5 1
M Estève DEF	15			5 -
Vitinho DEF	31		1	1 -
J Cullen MID	24	1	3	9 -
S Berge MID	36	1	2	9 -
J Brownhill MID	32	4	2	4 1
J Larsen MID	31	6		1 -
L Foster FWD	23	5	3	1
W Odobert FWD	28	3	3	3 -
Subs
J Trafford GLK	28			2 -
C Taylor DEF	27	1	1	8 -
H Ekdal DEF	8			2 -
J Gudmundsson MID	25	1	3	2 -
D Fofana FWD	16	4	1	1 -
J Rodríguez FWD	20	2	1	-
B Hedilazio FWD	8			-
Z Amdouni FWD	31	5	1	2 -
M Trésor FWD	16			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	4	7
J Larsen	Z Amdouni	D O'Shea	W Odobert

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Larsen MID	6	16		2
L Foster FWD	5	17	3	3
J Brownhill MID	4	11	2	1
D O'Shea DEF	3	5	4	4
W Odobert FWD	3	14	3	7
L Assignon DEF	1	4	2	4
J Cullen MID	1	3	3	4
S Berge MID	1	3	2	6
A Muric GLK				1
Vitinho DEF		4	1	1
Subs
Z Amdouni FWD	5	22	1	2
D Fofana FWD	4	10	1	2
J Rodríguez FWD	2	8	1
C Taylor DEF	1	1	1	5
J Gudmundsson MID	1	5	3	5
H Ekdal DEF		1
B Hedilazio FWD		2
M Trésor FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1653	76	176
D O'Shea	S Berge	S Berge

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D O'Shea DEF	1653	37	166
S Berge MID	1396	76	176
J Cullen MID	1302	40	112
J Brownhill MID	988	58	125
Vitinho DEF	735	62	134
M Estève DEF	706	25	65
W Odobert FWD	488	17	90
A Muric GLK	487	1	6
J Larsen MID	437	8	45
L Foster FWD	423	21	94
L Assignon DEF	336	38	75
Subs
J Trafford GLK	1361	2	22
C Taylor DEF	994	36	101
Z Amdouni FWD	456	27	105
J Gudmundsson MID	439	13	51
H Ekdal DEF	238	4	11
J Rodríguez FWD	206	15	47
D Fofana FWD	166	11	48
M Trésor FWD	145	10	24
B Hedilazio FWD	47	3	11

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	20	11	11
B Guimarães	A Isak	A Gordon	A Gordon

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	22			1 -
T Livramento DEF	26	1		1 -
E Krafth DEF	15			1 -
D Burn DEF	31	2	2	3 -
L Hall DEF	16			2 -
J Murphy MID	19	2	6	1 -
B Guimarães MID	35	6	6	9 -
S Longstaff MID	33	6	2	7 -
C Wilson FWD	19	9	1	3 -
A Isak FWD	28	20	1	2 -
A Gordon FWD	34	10	11	11 -
Subs
N Pope GLK	14			-
P Dummett DEF	4			-
A. Murphy DEF	2			-
E Anderson MID	19		2	2 -
H Barnes MID	19	4	3	2 -
M Ritchie MID	13	1		1 -
M Almirón MID	31	3	2	2 -
J White MID	4			1 -
Joelinton FWD	18	2	1	5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	40	11	18
A Isak	A Isak	A Gordon	A Gordon

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Isak FWD	20	40	1	4
A Gordon FWD	10	30	11	18
C Wilson FWD	9	21	1	2
B Guimarães MID	6	14	6	12
S Longstaff MID	6	14	2	5
D Burn DEF	2	5	2	3
J Murphy MID	2	8	6	10
T Livramento DEF	1	2		3
E Krafth DEF				3
L Hall DEF		2
Subs
H Barnes MID	4	11	3	8
M Almirón MID	3	12	2	5
Joelinton FWD	2	7	1	3
M Ritchie MID	1	4
E Anderson MID		5	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2101	83	265
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	B Guimarães

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Guimarães MID	2101	83	265
D Burn DEF	1420	60	172
S Longstaff MID	1141	53	111
A Gordon FWD	861	53	175
T Livramento DEF	662	24	79
M Dúbravka GLK	500		9
A Isak FWD	427	4	63
E Krafth DEF	411	19	38
J Murphy MID	376	18	44
L Hall DEF	364	23	47
C Wilson FWD	154	5	44
Subs
M Almirón MID	746	35	84
Joelinton FWD	552	35	84
E Anderson MID	384	22	77
N Pope GLK	282		6
H Barnes MID	213	5	31
M Ritchie MID	85	5	6
P Dummett DEF	21	1	2
A. Murphy DEF	17	1	1
J White MID	12	1	1

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Burnley v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burnley have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Newcastle lay in 7th place on 53 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Burnley v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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