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Vasco da Gama v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da is the setting on Sunday night, as Ramón Ángel Díaz's Vasco da Gama host Leonardo Rodrigues Condé's Vitória in the Serie A. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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Vasco da Gama's next match is v Cruzeiro at 22:30 on Sunday 2nd June
Vitória's next match is v Internacional at 20:00 on Saturday 1st June

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Vasco d Gama and Vitoria was on Sunday 12th May 2024

Brazillian Serie A

May 12th 2024

Vasco d Gama 2	1 Vitoria

M. Pereira Roque 51'	89' I. Freitas de Castilho
P. Vegetti Pfaffen 56'

	VDG VIT
Shots On	8 5
Shots Off	3 5
Corners	4 4
Possession	57% 43%
Fouls	12 12
Yellow/red cards	3/0 3/1

Vasco d Gama	Vitoria

L. Jardim L. Pinheiro da Conceição M. Pereira Roque L. Piton Crivellaro J. Da Silva Marcelino (P. de Oliveira Alves 79') P. Galdames Millán (M. Carvalho dos Santos 78') J. Sforza D. Payet (Bruno Praxedes 66') R. Pereira da Silva (A. Ferreira Soares 34') D. Correia da Fonseca P. Vegetti Pfaffen	L. Assis Arcanjo C. Andrade de Souza Silva R. Moraes I. Cardoso Calmon (J. Cracco Neto 46') W. Willemen E. Rodrigues Nunes W. de Oliveira Silva (J. Mota Oliveira de Sousa 66') M. Martins Fogaça de Paula J. Andrade Ramos (J. Sousa dos Santos 57') A. Barra Mansa Realino de Souza (L. de Souza da Silva 67') J. de Carvalho Costa

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Vasco d Gama and Vitoria have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vasco d Gama 56%	7/10 3%	4/6 3%
Draw 24%	13/5 3%	12/5 3%
Vitoria 20%	4/1 9%	7/2 7%
Vasco d Gama 1-0 13%	11/2 8%	5/1 9%
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	11/2
Vasco d Gama 2-0 11%	13/2	6/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1 10%	15/2 6%	13/2 6%
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2 19%	7/1 7%
Vitoria 1-0 7%	11/1 20%	9/1 11%
Vasco d Gama 3-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Vasco d Gama 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	11/1 8%
Vitoria 2-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 11%	14/1
Vitoria 2-0 3%	22/1 10%	18/1 12%
Vasco d Gama 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Vasco d Gama 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	20/1 9%
Vasco d Gama 4-1 2%	28/1 15%	20/1 9%
Vitoria 3-1 2%	40/1	25/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	21/20 9%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	3/4 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2 19%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	19/20 7%	19/20 7%
BTTS - No 52%	4/5 8%	3/4 6%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1 11%	14/5 10%
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 9%	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9/1	15/2 6%
Home/draw 80%	1/6 1%	1/6 3%
Away/draw 44%	11/10 5%	21/20 3%
Home/away 76%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/3 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	12/5 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	2/7 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 22%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1 21%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 25%	-
Home DNB 73%	2/7 1%	1/4 4%
Away DNB 37%	5/2 3%	5/2 9%
Vasco d Gama win to nil 33%	13/8	-
Vitoria win to nil 11%	7/1 14%	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 30%	7/4 5%	13/8 5%
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria 2%	40/1	28/1 15%
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama 18%	10/3 4%	10/3
Draw / Vitoria 9%	9/1 5%	8/1 6%
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2 16%	19/5 4%
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama 4%	22/1 12%	18/1 10%
Vitoria / Vitoria 10%	15/2 6%	13/2 7%
Vitoria / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Vasco d Gama	0 - 4	Criciuma
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Bragantino
Vasco d Gama	2 - 4	Corinthians
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	America
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Botafogo
Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Internacional
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama	5 - 1	Cortiba
Vasco d Gama	4 - 2	Fluminese
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Goias
Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Flamengo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Santos
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 4	Criciuma
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminese
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Bragantino
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 4	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	America
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cuiaba
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Goias
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Santos
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	America

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
Chapecoense	3 - 1	Vitoria
Novorizontin	1 - 2	Vitoria
Sampaio	0 - 1	Vitoria
Criciuma	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ituano	0 - 2	Vitoria
CRB	6 - 0	Vitoria
Atletico Go	0 - 0	Vitoria
Londrina	2 - 0	Vitoria
Ponte Preta	2 - 2	Vitoria
S. Recife	1 - 2	Vitoria
Vila Nova	1 - 0	Vitoria
Juventude	1 - 0	Vitoria
Guarani	2 - 0	Vitoria
Tombense	1 - 2	Vitoria
Avai	1 - 1	Vitoria
Mirassol	2 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	0 - 2	Vitoria
Botafogo	0 - 3	Vitoria
ABC	0 - 3	Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Vitoria	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vitoria	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Vitoria	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Chapecoense
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Vitoria	2 - 1	Novorizontin
H	Vitoria	1 - 1	Vila Nova
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Juventude
A	Vitoria	1 - 0	Sampaio
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Guarani
A	Vitoria	0 - 1	Criciuma
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Tombense
A	Vitoria	2 - 0	Ituano
H	Vitoria	3 - 0	Avai
A	Vitoria	0 - 6	CRB
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Mirassol
A	Vitoria	0 - 0	Atletico Go
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Botafogo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Ceara

Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vitória have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for Ramón Ángel Díaz's side suggests that run should continue.

	Vasco d Gama 13th	Vitoria 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Vasco d Gama have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	+16 Vitoria have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season

better

VDG

VIT

view stats

Games scored	4		4
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	2		1
Goals scored	6		5
Avg. goals scored	1		1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	11		9
Conversion rate	9%		11%
KickOff rating		0%

better

VDG

VIT

view stats

Games conceded	6		5
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	4		4
Goals conceded	11		11
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate	14%		18%
KickOff rating		+2%

Vasco d Gama v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	2
L Jardim	P Vegetti	D Payet	L Piton

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	6			-
J Victor DEF	4			1 -
Maicon DEF	5	1		1 -
L Léo DEF	6			1 -
L Piton DEF	6			2 -
P Galdames MID	6			1 -
J Sforza MID	6			2 -
Rossi MID	5		1	1 -
D Payet MID	2		2	-
David MID	6	1	1	1 -
P Vegetti FWD	6	3		1 -
Subs
Keiller GLK				-
V Luis DEF				-
R Rojas DEF	1			-
P Henrique DEF	6			-
J Bebanz DEF	1			-
G Medel MID	2			-
Praxedes MID	1			1 -
Z Gabriel MID	2			1 -
Adson MID	5			-
M Santos MID	6			-
Clayton FWD	4			-
R Rocha FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
P Vegetti	P Vegetti	D Payet	P Vegetti

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	3	7		3
Maicon DEF	1	2
David MID	1	2	1	2
J Victor DEF				1
L Léo DEF		1		1
L Piton DEF				1
P Galdames MID		1		1
J Sforza MID		1
Rossi MID			1	1
D Payet MID		1	2	1
Subs
P Henrique DEF		1
Adson MID		3
M Santos MID		3
Clayton FWD		2
R Rocha FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
330	14	46
L Léo	P Galdames	P Vegetti

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Léo DEF	330	10	22
J Sforza MID	304	8	21
L Piton DEF	263	12	28
P Galdames MID	227	14	24
Maicon DEF	193	3	20
David MID	147	9	32
J Victor DEF	128	10	22
L Jardim GLK	124
P Vegetti FWD	89	1	46
D Payet MID	76	1	3
Rossi MID	53	2	11
Subs
M Santos MID	193	7	22
P Henrique DEF	175	14	30
G Medel MID	77	1	1
Adson MID	67	6	12
Z Gabriel MID	44	2	6
R Rocha FWD	43	3	14
Praxedes MID	11		4
Clayton FWD	11	2	4
R Rojas DEF	7	2	2
J Bebanz DEF	4

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	2	2
L Arcanjo	W Oliveira	Matheuzinho	Camutanga

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Arcanjo GLK	5			-
Camutanga DEF	2			1 1
R Andrade DEF	3			-
Reynaldo DEF	2			-
Lepo MID	3			-
W Oliveira MID	4	1		-
Dudu MID	3			1 -
P Calmon MID	2			-
Matheuzinho MID	5	1	2	1 -
J Costa FWD	3			-
Alerrandro FWD	4			1 -
Subs
M Nurmela GLK				-
B Uvini DEF	3			1 -
Zeca DEF	5		1	1 -
C Zapata DEF				-
L Esteves DEF	4			2 -
L Naldi MID	2			1 -
Luan MID	3			-
J Mota MID	3			-
M Gonçalves FWD	4			-
I Castilho FWD	3	1		1 -
L Adriano FWD	3			-
Hugo FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	2	2
W Oliveira	Matheuzinho	Matheuzinho	Matheuzinho

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Matheuzinho MID	1	3	2	2
W Oliveira MID	1	1
Lepo MID				1
Dudu MID				1
P Calmon MID		1
J Costa FWD				2
Alerrandro FWD		3		1
Subs
I Castilho FWD	1	2
Zeca DEF		1	1
L Esteves DEF		1		1
L Naldi MID		1
J Mota MID		1
M Gonçalves FWD		1		1
Hugo FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
172	13	23
Zeca	Dudu	Dudu

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
W Oliveira MID	141	5	14
Dudu MID	121	13	23
Matheuzinho MID	111	6	21
L Arcanjo GLK	105		1
R Andrade DEF	101	3	7
Camutanga DEF	74	7	14
Reynaldo DEF	58	1	3
J Costa FWD	55	5	17
Alerrandro FWD	53	3	13
P Calmon MID	49	2	6
Lepo MID	31	5	9
Subs
Zeca DEF	172	9	14
L Esteves DEF	144	7	15
B Uvini DEF	111	1	10
Luan MID	60		2
J Mota MID	60	1	2
M Gonçalves FWD	50	2	9
L Naldi MID	42	3	3
I Castilho FWD	22	1	12
L Adriano FWD	14		2
Hugo FWD	14		5